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Market Inefficiency in Cryptoasset Markets

Joel Hasbrouck, Julian Ma, Fahad Saleh, Caspar Schwarz-Schilling

Abstract

We demonstrate market inefficiency in cryptoasset markets. Our approach examines investments that share a dominant risk factor but differ in their exposure to a secondary risk. We derive equilibrium restrictions that must hold regardless of how investors price either risk. Our empirical results strongly reject these necessary equilibrium restrictions. The rejection implies market inefficiency that cannot be attributed to mispriced risk, suggesting the presence of frictions that impede capital reallocation.

Market Inefficiency in Cryptoasset Markets

Abstract

We demonstrate market inefficiency in cryptoasset markets. Our approach examines investments that share a dominant risk factor but differ in their exposure to a secondary risk. We derive equilibrium restrictions that must hold regardless of how investors price either risk. Our empirical results strongly reject these necessary equilibrium restrictions. The rejection implies market inefficiency that cannot be attributed to mispriced risk, suggesting the presence of frictions that impede capital reallocation.
Paper Structure (20 sections, 7 theorems, 42 equations, 2 tables)

This paper contains 20 sections, 7 theorems, 42 equations, 2 tables.

Key Result

Proposition 1

The expected ETH return satisfies: where $v_t^{ETH} := \text{Var}[r_{t,t+1}^{ETH}~|~\mathcal{F}_t]$.

Theorems & Definitions (14)

  • Proposition 1: ETH Staking
  • Proposition 2: ETH Lending
  • Proposition 3: stETH Investment
  • Proposition 4: stETH Lending vs. ETH Staking
  • Proposition 5: stETH Lending vs. ETH Lending
  • Lemma 1
  • proof
  • proof : Proof of Proposition \ref{['prop:eth-staking']}
  • proof : Proof of Proposition \ref{['prop:eth-lending']}
  • Lemma 2
  • ...and 4 more