Chromaticity-Optimized Antenna Design and Bayesian Foreground Validation for the CANTAR Global 21 cm Experiment
Michelle Mora, German Chaparro, Juan D. Guerrero, Catalina Alzate, Juan P. Urrego, Jimena Giraldo, Pablo Cuartas-Restrepo, Julian Rodriguez-Ferreira, Oscar Restrepo
TL;DR
This work develops an integrated framework to advance global 21 cm experiments by optimizing antenna chromaticity, validating foreground and ionospheric models through Bayesian posterior predictive checks, and evaluating observing sites. Using PSO-optimized antennas and beam–sky convolution with Haslam-based skies, the authors demonstrate substantial chromaticity reductions (down to $\lesssim$0.02 MHz$^{-1}$) and identify mid-latitude sites as favorable for foreground suppression, while Antarctic deployments provide calibration opportunities. A key finding is that, when tested against publicly released EDGES data, physically motivated foreground/ionospheric models are statistically consistent only without an embedded 21 cm absorption feature; models including absorption fail to produce realizations consistent with the data under reasonable noise assumptions. The authors also show that residual structure can be attributed to modest impedance-mismatch ripples that can be modeled with a two-component, exponentially tapered log-periodic template, reducing post-foreground residuals significantly, and they generate a statistically validated ensemble of foregrounds for beam–sky simulations. Overall, the paper supports a two-phase CANTAR strategy—Antarctic calibration/validation followed by mid-latitude science—coupled with a robust, statistically validated foreground framework for robust global 21 cm signal detection.
Abstract
Detecting the global 21 cm signal from the epoch of reionization remains a major observational challenge due to bright foregrounds and instrumental systematics. As part of the Colombian Antarctic Telescopes for 21 cm Absorption during Reionization (CANTAR) initiative, we present a simulation and analysis framework to evaluate antenna chromaticity, optimize instrument design, and assess site suitability for global 21 cm experiments. Using frequency-dependent beam models and Haslam-based sky maps, we compute dynamic spectra for the EDGES blade dipole and a set of dipole and novel monopole antennas optimized via particle swarm optimization. The optimized designs exhibit improved spectral smoothness compared to EDGES, particularly in the 70-120 MHz range. We also evaluate latitude-dependent sky brightness and identify mid-latitude sites (-40° to +5°) as optimal for foreground suppression. We apply Bayesian inference together with posterior predictive model validation to the publicly released EDGES data, assessing statistical consistency rather than hypothesis testing or model comparison. We find that physically motivated foreground and ionospheric models are statistically consistent with the data only when a 21 cm absorption feature is excluded. From the validated posterior, we generate a statistically validated ensemble of foreground corrections for use in beam-sky simulations. These results support a two-phase strategy for CANTAR: Antarctic deployments for calibration and testing, and future science operations at mid-latitude sites. Our framework provides a validated path toward robust foreground modeling, antenna design, and systematics control for global 21 cm signal detection.
