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AdaptOrch: Task-Adaptive Multi-Agent Orchestration in the Era of LLM Performance Convergence

Geunbin Yu

TL;DR

AdaptOrch is presented, a formal framework for task-adaptive multi-agent orchestration that dynamically selects among four canonical topologies based on task dependency graphs and empirically derived domain characteristics and establishes orchestration design as a first-class optimization target independent of model scaling.

Abstract

As large language models from diverse providers converge toward comparable benchmark performance, the traditional paradigm of selecting a single best model per task yields diminishing returns. We argue that orchestration topology -- the structural composition of how multiple agents are coordinated, parallelized, and synthesized -- now dominates system-level performance over individual model capability. We present AdaptOrch, a formal framework for task-adaptive multi-agent orchestration that dynamically selects among four canonical topologies (parallel, sequential, hierarchical, and hybrid) based on task dependency graphs and empirically derived domain characteristics. Our framework introduces three key contributions: (1) a Performance Convergence Scaling Law, formalizing conditions under which orchestration selection outweighs model selection; (2) a Topology Routing Algorithm that maps task decomposition DAGs to optimal orchestration patterns in O(|V| + |E|) time; and (3) an Adaptive Synthesis Protocol with provable termination guarantees and heuristic consistency scoring for parallel agent outputs. We validate AdaptOrch across coding (SWE-bench), reasoning (GPQA), and retrieval-augmented generation tasks, demonstrating that topology-aware orchestration achieves 12-23% improvement over static single-topology baselines, even when using identical underlying models. Our results establish orchestration design as a first-class optimization target independent of model scaling.

AdaptOrch: Task-Adaptive Multi-Agent Orchestration in the Era of LLM Performance Convergence

TL;DR

AdaptOrch is presented, a formal framework for task-adaptive multi-agent orchestration that dynamically selects among four canonical topologies based on task dependency graphs and empirically derived domain characteristics and establishes orchestration design as a first-class optimization target independent of model scaling.

Abstract

As large language models from diverse providers converge toward comparable benchmark performance, the traditional paradigm of selecting a single best model per task yields diminishing returns. We argue that orchestration topology -- the structural composition of how multiple agents are coordinated, parallelized, and synthesized -- now dominates system-level performance over individual model capability. We present AdaptOrch, a formal framework for task-adaptive multi-agent orchestration that dynamically selects among four canonical topologies (parallel, sequential, hierarchical, and hybrid) based on task dependency graphs and empirically derived domain characteristics. Our framework introduces three key contributions: (1) a Performance Convergence Scaling Law, formalizing conditions under which orchestration selection outweighs model selection; (2) a Topology Routing Algorithm that maps task decomposition DAGs to optimal orchestration patterns in O(|V| + |E|) time; and (3) an Adaptive Synthesis Protocol with provable termination guarantees and heuristic consistency scoring for parallel agent outputs. We validate AdaptOrch across coding (SWE-bench), reasoning (GPQA), and retrieval-augmented generation tasks, demonstrating that topology-aware orchestration achieves 12-23% improvement over static single-topology baselines, even when using identical underlying models. Our results establish orchestration design as a first-class optimization target independent of model scaling.
Paper Structure (42 sections, 3 theorems, 16 equations, 12 figures, 6 tables, 2 algorithms)

This paper contains 42 sections, 3 theorems, 16 equations, 12 figures, 6 tables, 2 algorithms.

Key Result

Proposition 1

Let $\mathcal{M}$ be $\epsilon$-convergent on task distribution $\mathcal{D}$. Let $\text{Var}_M$ denote performance variance from model selection and $\text{Var}_\tau$ denote performance variance from topology selection. For a task $T$ with dependency DAG $G_T$ having $k$ subtasks, under uniform su When $\epsilon \to 0$ (perfect convergence) and $\omega(G_T) > 1$ (parallelizable tasks), $\text{Va

Figures (12)

  • Figure 1: Paradigm shift from model selection (left) to orchestration design (right). When model capabilities converge, the dominant optimization variable becomes the structural topology of agent coordination.
  • Figure 2: AdaptOrch pipeline. The Topology Router (Algorithm \ref{['alg:routing']}) selects the optimal execution topology based on DAG structural properties ($\omega$, $\delta$, $\gamma$). Failed syntheses trigger re-routing with adjusted coupling estimates.
  • Figure 3: $\epsilon$-Convergence evidence across four benchmarks. All five models score within $\epsilon$ of the best, validating the convergence assumption (Definition \ref{['def:convergence']}). Dashed line: best model score; shaded band: $\epsilon$ range.
  • Figure 4: Main results comparison across three benchmarks. AdaptOrch achieves the highest accuracy on all tasks while maintaining competitive latency. Error bars show $\pm 1$ standard deviation over 3 runs.
  • Figure 5: Pareto front: accuracy vs. latency. AdaptOrch achieves the best accuracy-latency tradeoff across benchmarks, dominating other methods in the Pareto sense.
  • ...and 7 more figures

Theorems & Definitions (10)

  • Definition 1: $\epsilon$-Convergence
  • Definition 2: Task Dependency DAG
  • Definition 3: DAG Structural Properties
  • Definition 4: Canonical Topologies
  • Proposition 1: Orchestration Dominance under Convergence
  • proof : Proof sketch
  • Corollary 1
  • Definition 5: Consistency Score (Heuristic)
  • Proposition 2: Synthesis Termination
  • proof