A fast Bayesian surrogate for the photon flux in ultra-peripheral collisions
Simone Ragoni, Janet Seger
TL;DR
The paper addresses the bottleneck of computing the photon flux in ultraperipheral collisions with nuclear-structure uncertainties. It introduces a physics-informed Bayesian neural-network surrogate trained on analytical flux integrals, employing MC dropout and an active-learning loop to concentrate computations where uncertainties are largest. The approach yields a ~100× speedup, propagates priors such as neutron-skin thickness and diffuseness from PREX-II, and provides a modular framework for updating uncertainties in UPC analyses. This enables robust end-to-end uncertainty propagation and rapid sensitivity studies, with potential applicability to other flux models and future nuclear-density constraints.
Abstract
We present a fast surrogate for the Equivalent Photon Approximation (EPA) flux in ultraperipheral collisions (UPCs), based on a Bayesian neural network (BNN) trained over analytical flux integrals with an iterative procedure focused on regions of high relative uncertainties to minimise the number of integrations. The surrogate propagates experimentally available uncertainties on the neutron skin thickness and surface diffuseness. Once trained, this surrogate technique brings an estimated gain of two orders of magnitude in CPU time. The implementation provides a modular framework for rapidly propagating updated nuclear priors and assessing uncertainties for photon flux in future UPC analyses.
