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Metric Dimensions of March Madness Brackets

Sam Spiro

TL;DR

This work reframes reconstructing March Madness-style tournament outcomes from scored brackets as a metric-dimension problem on single-elimination tournaments. It proves universal bounds on the metric dimension $ ext{dim}(S,\sigma)$ that are independent of the scoring system and gives exact results for standard balanced tournaments, notably $ ext{dim}(S,\sigma)=n/2$ when $n$ is a power of two. A central technical tool is a lifting technique that derives upper bounds by transferring resolving sets from sub-tournaments to the whole tournament, yielding the general bound $ ext{dim}(S,\sigma)\le n-1$ and the constructive $n/2$-bracket resolution for standard cases; the paper also analyzes the resolving number $ ext{res}(S,\sigma)$, showing it concentrates near the total number of brackets via $q_{\max}$. Together, these results quantify how much information brackets must carry to uniquely identify the tournament's actual progression, with implications for bracket-based inference and metric-dimension problems on tournament-like graphs.

Abstract

Say you and some friends decide to make brackets for March Madness and are told how each of your brackets scored. The question we ask is: when can you determine how the actual tournament went given your scores? We determine the exact minimum number of brackets needed to do this for any March Madness-style tournament regardless of the scoring system used, and more generally we prove effective bounds for the problem for arbitrary single-elimination tournaments.

Metric Dimensions of March Madness Brackets

TL;DR

This work reframes reconstructing March Madness-style tournament outcomes from scored brackets as a metric-dimension problem on single-elimination tournaments. It proves universal bounds on the metric dimension that are independent of the scoring system and gives exact results for standard balanced tournaments, notably when is a power of two. A central technical tool is a lifting technique that derives upper bounds by transferring resolving sets from sub-tournaments to the whole tournament, yielding the general bound and the constructive -bracket resolution for standard cases; the paper also analyzes the resolving number , showing it concentrates near the total number of brackets via . Together, these results quantify how much information brackets must carry to uniquely identify the tournament's actual progression, with implications for bracket-based inference and metric-dimension problems on tournament-like graphs.

Abstract

Say you and some friends decide to make brackets for March Madness and are told how each of your brackets scored. The question we ask is: when can you determine how the actual tournament went given your scores? We determine the exact minimum number of brackets needed to do this for any March Madness-style tournament regardless of the scoring system used, and more generally we prove effective bounds for the problem for arbitrary single-elimination tournaments.
Paper Structure (13 sections, 31 theorems, 50 equations, 1 figure)

This paper contains 13 sections, 31 theorems, 50 equations, 1 figure.

Key Result

Theorem 1.1

If $\vec{S}$ is a standard single-elimination tournament on $n$ players with $n\ge 2$ a power of 2, then for every scoring system $\sigma$ we have Moreover, for all $n$ there exists a set of $n/2$ brackets $\mathcal{B}$ which is $\sigma$-resolving for every $\sigma$.

Figures (1)

  • Figure 1: A standard single-elimination tournament $\vec{S}$ with 4 players $a,b,c,d$, along with two brackets $B_1,B_2$. Here $\mathrm{score}_\sigma(B_1,B_2)=\sigma(y)$ for any scoring system $\sigma$ since the only match which $B_1,B_2$ agree on is $y$. Moreover, one can check that $\{B_1,B_2\}$ is a $\sigma$-resolving set for every $\sigma$.

Theorems & Definitions (101)

  • Definition 1
  • Definition 2
  • Definition 3
  • Definition 4
  • Theorem 1.1
  • Theorem 1.2
  • Definition 5
  • Theorem 1.3
  • Theorem 1.4
  • Lemma 3.1
  • ...and 91 more