Anytime-Valid Quantum Tomography via Confidence Sequences
Aldo Cumitini, Luca Barletta, Osvaldo Simeone
TL;DR
This work addresses sequential quantum state tomography by introducing Anytime-Valid QST (AV-QST), which attaches time-uniform confidence sets to point estimates using confidence sequences. AV-QST constructs uncertainty sets $\mathcal{C}_t^{\text{AV-QST}}(\alpha)$ via a likelihood-ratio statistic $R_t(\rho)$ anchored to a predictor $\hat{\rho}_{t-1}$, and proves that $\mathbb{P}(\forall t, \rho^* \in \mathcal{C}_t^{\text{AV-QST}}(\alpha)) \ge 1-\alpha$ through a test-martingale argument and Ville's inequality. The paper contrasts AV-QST with standard LR-QST and Bayesian QST, showing that AV-QST offers reliable time-uniform coverage and typically tighter uncertainty sets than LR-QST’s batch approach while avoiding prior-dependence and asymptotic limitations of Bayesian methods. Empirical results on two- and four-qubit systems demonstrate favorable performance in terms of miscoverage control and set size, supporting practical applicability for real-time quantum tomography and sequential decision-making.
Abstract
In this letter, we address the problem of developing quantum state tomography (QST) methods that remain valid at any time during a sequence of measurements. Specifically, the aim is to provide a rigorous quantification of the uncertainty associated with the current state estimate as data are acquired incrementally. To this end, the proposed framework augments existing QST techniques by associating current point estimates of the state with confidence sets that are guaranteed to contain the true quantum state with a user-defined probability. The methodology is grounded in recent statistical advances in anytime-valid confidence sequences. Numerical results confirm the theoretical coverage properties of the proposed anytime-valid QST.
