Perception-to-Pursuit: Track-Centric Temporal Reasoning for Open-World Drone Detection and Autonomous Chasing
Venkatakrishna Reddy Oruganti
TL;DR
This work targets the perception-to-pursuit gap in autonomous counter-drone systems by introducing Perception-to-Pursuit (P2P), a track-centric temporal reasoning framework that predicts motion-aware trajectories feasible for interception. It achieves this with an 8-D motion token representation and a 12-frame causal transformer that jointly predicts drone class, behavior, intent, and a future trajectory, constrained by kinematic reachability. A new Intercept Success Rate (ISR) metric directly quantifies pursuit feasibility under realistic interceptor limits, and experiments on Anti-UAV-RGBT show a 77% ADE improvement and 597x improvement in ISR over tracking-only baselines, while maintaining 100% classification accuracy. The results demonstrate that temporal motion reasoning yields both accurate trajectory forecasting and practically actionable pursuit plans, with real-time performance suitable for deployment.
Abstract
Autonomous drone pursuit requires not only detecting drones but also predicting their trajectories in a manner that enables kinematically feasible interception. Existing tracking methods optimize for prediction accuracy but ignore pursuit feasibility, resulting in trajectories that are physically impossible to intercept 99.9% of the time. We propose Perception-to-Pursuit (P2P), a track-centric temporal reasoning framework that bridges detection and actionable pursuit planning. Our method represents drone motion as compact 8-dimensional tokens capturing velocity, acceleration, scale, and smoothness, enabling a 12-frame causal transformer to reason about future behavior. We introduce the Intercept Success Rate (ISR) metric to measure pursuit feasibility under realistic interceptor constraints. Evaluated on the Anti-UAV-RGBT dataset with 226 real drone sequences, P2P achieves 28.12 pixel average displacement error and 0.597 ISR, representing a 77% improvement in trajectory prediction and 597x improvement in pursuit feasibility over tracking-only baselines, while maintaining perfect drone classification accuracy (100%). Our work demonstrates that temporal reasoning over motion patterns enables both accurate prediction and actionable pursuit planning.
