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Perception-to-Pursuit: Track-Centric Temporal Reasoning for Open-World Drone Detection and Autonomous Chasing

Venkatakrishna Reddy Oruganti

TL;DR

This work targets the perception-to-pursuit gap in autonomous counter-drone systems by introducing Perception-to-Pursuit (P2P), a track-centric temporal reasoning framework that predicts motion-aware trajectories feasible for interception. It achieves this with an 8-D motion token representation and a 12-frame causal transformer that jointly predicts drone class, behavior, intent, and a future trajectory, constrained by kinematic reachability. A new Intercept Success Rate (ISR) metric directly quantifies pursuit feasibility under realistic interceptor limits, and experiments on Anti-UAV-RGBT show a 77% ADE improvement and 597x improvement in ISR over tracking-only baselines, while maintaining 100% classification accuracy. The results demonstrate that temporal motion reasoning yields both accurate trajectory forecasting and practically actionable pursuit plans, with real-time performance suitable for deployment.

Abstract

Autonomous drone pursuit requires not only detecting drones but also predicting their trajectories in a manner that enables kinematically feasible interception. Existing tracking methods optimize for prediction accuracy but ignore pursuit feasibility, resulting in trajectories that are physically impossible to intercept 99.9% of the time. We propose Perception-to-Pursuit (P2P), a track-centric temporal reasoning framework that bridges detection and actionable pursuit planning. Our method represents drone motion as compact 8-dimensional tokens capturing velocity, acceleration, scale, and smoothness, enabling a 12-frame causal transformer to reason about future behavior. We introduce the Intercept Success Rate (ISR) metric to measure pursuit feasibility under realistic interceptor constraints. Evaluated on the Anti-UAV-RGBT dataset with 226 real drone sequences, P2P achieves 28.12 pixel average displacement error and 0.597 ISR, representing a 77% improvement in trajectory prediction and 597x improvement in pursuit feasibility over tracking-only baselines, while maintaining perfect drone classification accuracy (100%). Our work demonstrates that temporal reasoning over motion patterns enables both accurate prediction and actionable pursuit planning.

Perception-to-Pursuit: Track-Centric Temporal Reasoning for Open-World Drone Detection and Autonomous Chasing

TL;DR

This work targets the perception-to-pursuit gap in autonomous counter-drone systems by introducing Perception-to-Pursuit (P2P), a track-centric temporal reasoning framework that predicts motion-aware trajectories feasible for interception. It achieves this with an 8-D motion token representation and a 12-frame causal transformer that jointly predicts drone class, behavior, intent, and a future trajectory, constrained by kinematic reachability. A new Intercept Success Rate (ISR) metric directly quantifies pursuit feasibility under realistic interceptor limits, and experiments on Anti-UAV-RGBT show a 77% ADE improvement and 597x improvement in ISR over tracking-only baselines, while maintaining 100% classification accuracy. The results demonstrate that temporal motion reasoning yields both accurate trajectory forecasting and practically actionable pursuit plans, with real-time performance suitable for deployment.

Abstract

Autonomous drone pursuit requires not only detecting drones but also predicting their trajectories in a manner that enables kinematically feasible interception. Existing tracking methods optimize for prediction accuracy but ignore pursuit feasibility, resulting in trajectories that are physically impossible to intercept 99.9% of the time. We propose Perception-to-Pursuit (P2P), a track-centric temporal reasoning framework that bridges detection and actionable pursuit planning. Our method represents drone motion as compact 8-dimensional tokens capturing velocity, acceleration, scale, and smoothness, enabling a 12-frame causal transformer to reason about future behavior. We introduce the Intercept Success Rate (ISR) metric to measure pursuit feasibility under realistic interceptor constraints. Evaluated on the Anti-UAV-RGBT dataset with 226 real drone sequences, P2P achieves 28.12 pixel average displacement error and 0.597 ISR, representing a 77% improvement in trajectory prediction and 597x improvement in pursuit feasibility over tracking-only baselines, while maintaining perfect drone classification accuracy (100%). Our work demonstrates that temporal reasoning over motion patterns enables both accurate prediction and actionable pursuit planning.
Paper Structure (22 sections, 16 equations, 2 figures, 3 tables)

This paper contains 22 sections, 16 equations, 2 figures, 3 tables.

Figures (2)

  • Figure 1: Perception-to-Pursuit Framework. Our pipeline processes tracked bounding boxes into 8-dimensional motion tokens capturing velocity, acceleration, scale, and smoothness. A 12-frame causal transformer reasons over these tokens to jointly predict: (1) drone classification, (2) behavior category, (3) maneuver intent, and (4) future trajectory. Multi-task learning ensures predictions are both accurate and pursuit-feasible.
  • Figure 2: Qualitative examples. Top: Success case with complex maneuver. Our method (green) accurately predicts evasive trajectory while tracking-only (red) produces infeasible linear extrapolation. Bottom: Challenging case with rapid direction change. Our prediction enables pursuit (ISR=0.78) while baseline fails (ISR=0.02).