Against probability: A quantum state is more than a list of probability distributions
Ladina Hausmann, Renato Renner
TL;DR
The paper argues that representing quantum states solely by probability distributions across measurements is inherently non-robust topologically. By formalizing topological robustness and linking it to data-compression structure via an asymptotic entropy framework, it shows that any probability representation with nontrivial structure cannot be robust, with concrete results for product and efficient measurement sets. The authors extend the analysis to generalized probabilistic theories, constructing a keys-and-locks GPT where local tomography holds but the probability representation metrics induce different topologies from the trace-distance-inspired metric, underscoring a fundamental obstruction to robust probabilistic representations in broad theories. Together, these results motivate the search for an alternative, topologically robust framework for state representation that preserves subsystem structure and generalizes beyond quantum theory.
Abstract
The state $ρ$ of a quantum system can be represented by a vector $\mathbf{P}_{\mathcal{M}}(ρ)$ of outcome probabilities for a set of measurements $\mathcal{M}$. Such representations appear throughout physics, for example, in quantum field theory via correlation functions and in quantum foundations within generalized probabilistic frameworks. In this work, we identify an unavoidable tension: to enable operationally meaningful statements, the map ${ρ\mapsto \mathbf{P}_{\mathcal{M}}(ρ)}$ must be topologically robust $\unicode{x2013}$ preserving the notion of closeness between states. Yet, a probability representation that is topologically robust cannot simultaneously retain other essential structure, such as the subsystem structure.
