Balanced weighted Motzkin paths: Pearson structure and saddlepoint asymptotics
Alexander Omelchenko
TL;DR
The paper analyzes balanced Motzkin paths with linearly varying step weights, deriving a Pearson-type PDE for the exponential generating function and solving it via characteristics across all drift regimes. A moving algebraic singularity τ(x) governs both local Gaussian behaviour and the global large-deviation profile, with a coalescing-saddle structure that yields precise finite-n asymptotics. A uniform finite-n approximation is established through Daniels lattice saddlepoint methods, producing a single formula that remains accurate from the center through the tails. In the large-n limit, the limit cumulant generating function F(θ) = log τ(1) − log τ(e^θ) drives a strictly convex rate function I(u) via Legendre transform, delivering an n-speed large-deviation principle for K_n/n and a coherent global picture that extends to related weighted path models and tridiagonal recurrences.
Abstract
We analyse weighted Motzkin paths with step multiplicities that vary linearly with height. In the balanced case the associated exponential generating function satisfies a Pearson-type PDE, and solving by characteristics yields closed expressions in all drift regimes. These formulas reveal a moving algebraic singularity that governs both local and global behaviour. Locally this gives a Gaussian central window for the terminal-height distribution, while globally we identify an explicit limit cumulant generating function and prove an $n$-speed large-deviation principle. For finite $n$, Daniels' lattice saddlepoint approximation provides a single formula that is accurate across the full range of $k$; in all quadratic regimes it achieves a uniform interior relative error of order $n^{-1}$. The results link Pearson geometry with uniform saddlepoint methods and extend naturally to other weighted path models and tridiagonal recurrences.
