Large Deviations for the d'Arcais Numbers
Shannon Starr
TL;DR
This work proves a Bahadur-Rao type local large deviation formula for the d'Arcais numbers $A(2,n,k)$ in the regime $k_n/n\to\kappa\in[0,1)$ with $k_n\to\infty$, expressing the asymptotics of $\frac{k_n!\,A(2,n,k_n)}{n!}$ via the generating function $F(y)=-\ln((e^{-y};e^{-y})_{\infty})$ and its Legendre transform. The rate function arises as the Legendre–Fenchel transform of $f(y)=\ln F(y)$, with $y_n$ solving $-F'(y_n)/F(y_n)=1/\kappa_n$, yielding a precise BR-type asymptotic including a nontrivial prefactor. The paper also establishes asymmetry of the rate function, relates the result to the classical Bahadur–Rao framework, and derives a corollary on log-concavity for large $n$; in addition, it discusses the abundancy-index asymptotics and re-derives $\,\ell=2$ asymptotics via modular symmetry and a Hardy–Ramanujan style circle method. The results illuminate the probabilistic structure behind the d'Arcais numbers and connect to the underlying number-theoretic objects via the abundancy index and modular forms.
Abstract
The d'Arcais polynomials $P_n(z)$ for $n\in\{0,1,\dots\}$ are defined as $\sum_{n=0}^{\infty} P_n(z) q^n = \exp(-z\ln((q;q)_{\infty}))$ where the $q$-Pochhammer symbol is $(q;q)_{\infty} = \prod_{k=1}^{\infty} (1-q^k)$ for $|q|<1$. Denoting the coefficients for $n \in \mathbb{N}$ by the formula $P_n(z) = \sum_{k=1}^{n} A(2,n,k) z^k/n!$, we prove that $k_n! A(2,n,k_n)/n!$ satisfies a Bahadur-Rao type large deviation formula in the limit $n \to \infty$ with $k_n/n \to κ\in [0,1)$ as long as $k_n \to \infty$. The large deviation rate function is the Legendre-Fenchel transform $g^*(-κ)$ where $g(κ) = f^{-1}(κ)$ for the function $f : (0,\infty) \to \mathbb{R}$ given by $f(y)= \ln(-\ln((e^{-y};e^{-y})_{\infty}))$. We relate this fact to information about the abundancy index.
