Statistical Inference for Fuzzy Clustering
Qiuyi Wu, Zihan Zhu, Anru R. Zhang
TL;DR
This work addresses the lack of principled statistical inference for fuzzy clustering in settings with imbalanced clusters and continuum phenotypes by introducing Weighted Fuzzy Clusters (WFCM). It formulates a probabilistic density f(x; V,w,m,σ) induced by the WFCM loss, and develops a blockwise MM algorithm with importance sampling for the normalizing constant, enabling likelihood-based estimation. The authors establish consistency and asymptotic normality of the MLE, and provide tools for inference, such as likelihood-ratio tests and bootstrap confidence regions, plus a weighted Xie-Beni index for model selection. In applications to scRNA-seq PBMC data and ADNI neuroimaging, WFCM yields stable uncertainty quantification and meaningful soft memberships, capturing both well-separated clusters and a disease-continuum in AD progression.
Abstract
Clustering is a central tool in biomedical research for discovering heterogeneous patient subpopulations, where group boundaries are often diffuse rather than sharply separated. Traditional methods produce hard partitions, whereas soft clustering methods such as fuzzy $c$-means (FCM) allow mixed memberships and better capture uncertainty and gradual transitions. Despite the widespread use of FCM, principled statistical inference for fuzzy clustering remains limited. We develop a new framework for weighted fuzzy $c$-means (WFCM) for settings with potential cluster size imbalance. Cluster-specific weights rebalance the classical FCM criterion so that smaller clusters are not overwhelmed by dominant groups, and the weighted objective induces a normalized density model with scale parameter $σ$ and fuzziness parameter $m$. Estimation is performed via a blockwise majorize--minimize (MM) procedure that alternates closed-form membership and centroid updates with likelihood-based updates of $(σ,\bw)$. The intractable normalizing constant is approximated by importance sampling using a data-adaptive Gaussian mixture proposal. We further provide likelihood ratio tests for comparing cluster centers and bootstrap-based confidence intervals. We establish consistency and asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator, validate the method through simulations, and illustrate it using single-cell RNA-seq and Alzheimer disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) data. These applications demonstrate stable uncertainty quantification and biologically meaningful soft memberships, ranging from well-separated cell populations under imbalance to a graded AD versus non-AD continuum consistent with disease progression.
