BEDA: Belief Estimation as Probabilistic Constraints for Performing Strategic Dialogue Acts
Hengli Li, Zhaoxin Yu, Qi Shen, Chenxi Li, Mengmeng Wang, Tinglang Wu, Yipeng Kang, Yuxuan Wang, Song-Chun Zhu, Zixia Jia, Zilong Zheng
TL;DR
BEDA introduces a principled method to use belief estimation directly as probabilistic constraints during utterance generation for strategic dialogue acts. By formalizing Adversarial and Alignment acts and implementing them via a World Set, two belief estimators, and a constrained generator, BEDA bridges belief inference and action realization. Across CKBG, Mutual Friends, and CaSiNo, BEDA yields consistent gains in success rate and negotiation quality, while reducing inefficiencies and hallucinations associated with unconstrained generation. The framework highlights the practical impact of constraint-based belief use for robust, reliable strategic dialogue in diverse social rationales.
Abstract
Strategic dialogue requires agents to execute distinct dialogue acts, for which belief estimation is essential. While prior work often estimates beliefs accurately, it lacks a principled mechanism to use those beliefs during generation. We bridge this gap by first formalizing two core acts Adversarial and Alignment, and by operationalizing them via probabilistic constraints on what an agent may generate. We instantiate this idea in BEDA, a framework that consists of the world set, the belief estimator for belief estimation, and the conditional generator that selects acts and realizes utterances consistent with the inferred beliefs. Across three settings, Conditional Keeper Burglar (CKBG, adversarial), Mutual Friends (MF, cooperative), and CaSiNo (negotiation), BEDA consistently outperforms strong baselines: on CKBG it improves success rate by at least 5.0 points across backbones and by 20.6 points with GPT-4.1-nano; on Mutual Friends it achieves an average improvement of 9.3 points; and on CaSiNo it achieves the optimal deal relative to all baselines. These results indicate that casting belief estimation as constraints provides a simple, general mechanism for reliable strategic dialogue.
