The probability of isomorphic group structures of isogenous elliptic curves over finite fields
John Cullinan, Nathan Kaplan
TL;DR
The paper studies the density of primes p for which two fixed ℓ-isogenous elliptic curves E and E' over ℚ have isomorphic groups $E(\mathbf{F}_p)$ and $E'(\mathbf{F}_p)$. It develops a Chebotarev-density framework using ℓ-adic and mod ℓ^n representations, defining quantities $d_{\ell^m}$ and $d'_{\ell^m}$ from the ℓ-adic image data, and proves a universal density formula $P(E,E') = 1 - \sum_{m=1}^\infty \left( \frac{d_{\ell^m}}{|G(\ell^m)|} + \frac{d'_{\ell^m}}{|G'(\ell^m)|} \right)$ that yields the limiting proportion of primes where the groups are nonisomorphic. For non-CM curves the $d_{\ell^m}$ stabilize to $1-1/\ell$ and the tail simplifies into a geometric sum; in CM cases, the density is 1 for ℓ>3 with a handful of exceptional smaller ℓ values. The paper provides exact computations and extensive examples, including CM and non-CM instances, as well as the effect of quadratic twists on the density. The results give a precise, broadly applicable method to quantify how often isomorphic reductions occur across primes for isogenous elliptic curves, with practical computations demonstrated via explicit data and examples.
Abstract
Let l be a prime number and let E and E' be l-isogenous elliptic curves defined over Q. In this paper we determine the proportion of primes p for which E(F_p) is isomorphic to E'(F_p). Our techniques are based on those developed in \cite{ck} and \cite{rnt}.
