Towards Quantum Advantage in Chemistry
Scott N. Genin, Ohyun Kwon, Seyyed Mehdi Hosseini Jenab, Seon-Jeong Lim, Taehyung Kim, Tae-Gon Kim, Rami Gherib, Angela F. Harper, Ilya G. Ryabinkin, Michael G. Helander
TL;DR
The paper develops and benchmarks the iterative qubit coupled-cluster (iQCC) quantum solver, demonstrating scalable emulation up to about $200$ logical qubits and millions of entangling gates on classical hardware. By computing the $T_1\rightarrow S_0$ gaps for Ir(III) and Pt(II) phosphorescent emitters and applying perturbative corrections, iQCC achieves state-of-the-art agreement with experiment (MAE $\approx$ 0.05 eV; $R^2$ $\approx$ 0.94–0.97), outperforming leading classical methods. The authors show near-linear scaling of runtime with respect to the product of qubits and entanglers via a parallel, bit-partitioned architecture, enabling large active-space simulations such as CAS$(100,100)$ with $\sim$1.5 million parameters and $\sim$10 million two-qubit gates. They also demonstrate a quantum-utility study for OLED materials, highlighting the potential of quantum-native methods in materials design while outlining future work on strongly correlated regimes and fault-tolerant hardware.
Abstract
Molecular simulations are widely regarded as leading candidates to demonstrate quantum advantage--defined as the point at which quantum methods surpass classical approaches in either accuracy or scale. Yet the qubit counts and error rates required to realize such an advantage remain uncertain; resource estimates for ground-state electronic structure span orders of magnitude, and no quantum-native method has been validated at a commercially relevant scale. Here we address this uncertainty by executing the iterative qubit coupled-cluster (iQCC) algorithm, designed for fault-tolerant quantum hardware, at unprecedented scale using a quantum solver on classical processors, enabling simulations of transition organo-metallic complexes requiring hundreds of logical qubits and millions of entangling gates. Using this approach, we compute the lowest triplet excited state (T$_1$) energies of Ir(III) and Pt(II) phosphorescent organometallic compounds and show that iQCC achieves the lowest mean absolute error (0.05 eV) and highest R$^2$ (0.94) relative to experiment, outperforming leading classical methods. We find these systems remain classically tractable up to $\sim$200 logical qubits, establishing the threshold at which quantum advantage in computational chemistry may emerge and clarifying resource requirements for future quantum computers.
