Procurement without Priors: A Simple Mechanism and its Notable Performance
Dirk Bergemann, Tibor Heumann, Stephen Morris
TL;DR
The paper tackles procurement when supplier costs are unknown and no prior over costs is available. It shows that simple constant utility share mechanisms, calibrated to demand elasticity, guarantee a positive fraction of the efficient social surplus and attain the competitive ratio across both linear and convex nonlinear cost environments. The authors provide two complementary justifications: a direct maximin analysis and a Bayes-optimal interpretation under appropriate priors, establishing a saddle-point structure. The framework extends naturally to regulation and nonlinear pricing, offering robust, scale-invariant design principles that rely on key elasticities rather than costly cost-distribution estimates.
Abstract
How should a buyer design procurement mechanisms when suppliers' costs are unknown, and the buyer does not have a prior belief? We demonstrate that simple mechanisms - that share a constant fraction of the buyer utility with the seller - allow the buyer to realize a guaranteed positive fraction of the efficient social surplus across all possible costs. Moreover, a judicious choice of the share based on the known demand maximizes the surplus ratio guarantee that can be attained across all possible (arbitrarily complex and nonlinear) mechanisms and cost functions. Similar results hold in related nonlinear pricing and optimal regulation problems.
