High-overtone ringdown fits: start time, no-hair tests, and correlations
Erin Coleman, Eliot Finch
TL;DR
This paper assesses the practical value of including many overtones in black-hole ringdown analyses by applying NR-based fits (both least-squares and Bayesian) to evaluate how the ringdown start time, and tests of the no-hair theorem, depend on the number of overtones $N$. It shows that while adding overtones can push the usable start time earlier and improve remnant-property recovery, there is no unique highest overtone; the gains diminish with increasing $N$ and the overtones become highly correlated, complicating individual amplitude measurements. Through perturbing overtone frequencies and mapping the posterior correlations, the work reveals that joint measurements of amplitudes (via the correlation structure) retain sensitivity to the frequencies and decay times of even high-$n$ overtones, offering a potential path for GR-consistency tests. The findings inform pragmatic ringdown modeling and BH spectroscopy, suggesting that future work should pursue full Bayesian parameter estimation with high-overtone models and additional QNMs, along with accessible code for reproducibility.
Abstract
Overtones are known to improve the performance of fits to the ringdown, both in numerical-relativity simulations and gravitational-wave observations. Although the overtone frequencies are a concrete prediction of general relativity, it remains an open question whether they are excited to the extent that fits would suggest. In this work, we take a pragmatic approach and investigate the practical utility of each additional overtone in extracting information from the ringdown. We look at the dependence of the ringdown start time on the number of overtones, and the feasibility of detecting deviations from general relativity in the ringdown frequencies. We suggest that there is no clear "maximum" overtone, but rather the utility of each additional overtone decreases compared to the one before. Finally, we perform Bayesian parameter estimation (as opposed to least-squares fits) to obtain posterior distributions on the overtone amplitudes and phases, allowing us to investigate their correlation structure. Due to strong correlations it becomes increasingly hard to measure individual amplitudes and phases for the highest overtones. However, we find that the joint measurement of overtone amplitudes (i.e., the correlation structure itself) is sensitive to the frequencies and decay times of even the highest overtones, possibly offering an avenue to perform consistency tests with general relativity.
