Linear Quadratic Control with Non-Markovian and Non-Semimartingale Noise Models
Mostafa M. Shibl, Sharan Srinivasan, Harsha Honnappa, Vijay Gupta
TL;DR
This work extends linear-quadratic control to non-Markovian and non-semimartingale disturbances by adopting rough path theory, formulating a generalized LQ problem (gLQ) with rough process and observation noises. It derives a Riccati-based optimal controller augmented by a noise-prediction term V(t) and, for partial-state information, a rough Kalman-Bucy-type observer, establishing pathwise optimality and a rough-path-enabled separation principle. The authors prove existence and structure of the solution and illustrate substantial robustness improvements over classical LQR in simulations driven by fractional Brownian motion and stable Lévy noise. The approach offers pathwise guarantees and suggests future integration with path signatures and reinforcement learning for path-dependent control under rough disturbances.
Abstract
The standard linear quadratic Gaussian (LQG) framework assumes a Brownian noise process and relies on classical stochastic calculus tools, such as those based on Itô calculus. In this paper, we solve a generalized linear quadratic optimal control problem where the process and measurement noises can be non-Markovian and non-semimartingale stochastic processes with sample paths that have low Hölder regularity. Since these noise models do not, in general, permit the use of the standard Itô calculus, we employ rough path theory to formulate and solve the problem. By leveraging signature representations and controlled rough paths, we derive the optimal state estimation and control strategies.
