Graphical Tests of Causality
Ämin Baumeler, Eleftherios-Ermis Tselentis, Stefan Wolf
TL;DR
The paper develops a unified graphical framework to test various causal orders (static, definite, bi-causal) through simple, graph-based inequalities that bound winning probabilities in graphical games. It builds a geometric bridge between single-output correlations and directed graphs, enabling facet-defining tests via polytopes and their lifting to correlation space. A central contribution is the identification of kefalopoda, cycle/fence/Möbius, not-strong, and minimally strong digraph families that yield tractable, polygonal constraints, plus a polynomial-time algorithm for recognizing weakly causal correlations. The work also introduces a projection-based methodology that preserves tractability while capturing key causal features, and it outlines several open questions about the completeness of these tests and extensions beyond the single-output setting. Overall, the approach provides device-independent, graph-theoretic tests of causality with practical implications for analyzing complex multi-party causal structures.
Abstract
Bell inequalities limit the possible observations of non-communicating parties. Here, we present analogous inequalities for any number of communicating parties under the causal constraints of static causal order, definite causal order, and bi-causal order. All derived inequalities are remarkably simple. They correspond to upper bounds on the winning chance in graphical games: Given a specific directed graph over the parties, the parties are challenged to communicate along a randomly chosen arc. In the case of definite causal order, every game that we find is specified by a kefalopoda digraph. Based on this we define weakly causal correlations as those that satisfy all kefalopoda inequalities. We show that the problem of deciding whether some correlations are weakly causal is solvable in polynomial time in the number of parties.
