An Axiomatic Analysis of Distributionally Robust Optimization with $q$-Norm Ambiguity Sets for Probability Smoothing
Yoichi Izunaga, Kota Kurihara, Hokuto Nagano, Daiki Uchida
TL;DR
The paper tackles zero-frequency smoothing by introducing q-DRO, a distributionally robust optimization framework with a q-norm ambiguity set around the empirical distribution. It proves that the resulting estimator satisfies Positivity and Symmetry for all q and, for q in (1, ∞), Order Preservation under mild non-degeneracy, while showing the problem is a convex conic program and equivalent to regularized empirical loss minimization. Boundary analyses reveal that Order Preservation can fail for q = 1 and q = ∞, with numerical experiments confirming axiom verification for q = 2 and illustrating the regularization effect as the robustness radius grows. Overall, the study positions q-DRO as a principled, robust, and computationally tractable approach to probability smoothing with clear connections to convex optimization and regularization theory.
Abstract
We analyze the axiomatic properties of a class of probability estimators derived from Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) with $q$-norm ambiguity sets ($q$-DRO), a principled approach to the zero-frequency problem. While classical estimators such as Laplace smoothing are characterized by strong linearity axioms like Ratio Preservation, we show that $q$-DRO provides a flexible alternative that satisfies other desirable properties. We first prove that for any $q \in [1, \infty]$, the $q$-DRO estimator satisfies the fundamental axioms of Positivity and Symmetry. For the case of $q \in (1, \infty)$, we then prove that it also satisfies Order Preservation. Our analysis of the optimality conditions also reveals that the $q$-DRO formulation is equivalent to the regularized empirical loss minimization.
