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Stochastic Ordering for Bernoulli and Normal Random Walks

Shoou-Ren Hsiau, Yi-Ching Yao

Abstract

Let $(S_n^p)_{n\geq 0}$ be a Bernoulli random walk where each of the independent increments is either $1$ or $-1$ with probabilities $p$ and $1-p$. For $p'$ and $p'' \in [0,1]$ with $|p'-1/2|>|p''-1/2|$, we show that $(|S_n^{p''}|)_{n\geq 0}$ is stochastically smaller than $(|S_n^{p'}|)_{n\geq 0}$. In other words, $(|S_n^{p}|)_{n\geq 0}$ is stochastically decreasing in $p \in [0,1/2]$ and increasing in $p\in [1/2,1]$. An analogous result is also given for the family of normal random walks indexed by $μ\in R$ where each of the independent increments is normally distributed with common mean $μ$ and variance $1$. Extension to Brownian motion then follows by a limiting argument. As an application, these results are used to easily derive stochastic ordering properties for stopping times of Bernoulli and normal random walks.

Stochastic Ordering for Bernoulli and Normal Random Walks

Abstract

Let be a Bernoulli random walk where each of the independent increments is either or with probabilities and . For and with , we show that is stochastically smaller than . In other words, is stochastically decreasing in and increasing in . An analogous result is also given for the family of normal random walks indexed by where each of the independent increments is normally distributed with common mean and variance . Extension to Brownian motion then follows by a limiting argument. As an application, these results are used to easily derive stochastic ordering properties for stopping times of Bernoulli and normal random walks.

Paper Structure

This paper contains 3 sections, 13 theorems, 87 equations.

Key Result

Theorem 1

For $p', p" \in [0,1]$ satisfying $|p'-\frac{1}{2}|> |p"-\frac{1}{2}|$, we have $(|S_n^{p"}|)_{n\geq 0} \preceq_{st} (|S_n^{p'}|)_{n\geq 0}$.

Theorems & Definitions (27)

  • Theorem 1
  • Theorem 2
  • Theorem 3
  • Theorem 4
  • Corollary 1
  • Corollary 2
  • Corollary 3
  • Corollary 4
  • Theorem 5
  • Remark 1
  • ...and 17 more