Distribution of lengths of closed saddle connections on moduli space of large genus translation surface
Shenxing Zhang
TL;DR
The paper proves that the number of closed saddle connections of length in $[a/\sqrt{g}, b/\sqrt{g}]$ on a random translation surface from a fixed stratum converges to a Poisson law in the large genus limit. Central to the method is a new surgery that collapses a closed saddle connection, together with a factorial-moment approach that translates geometric counts into Poisson parameters. The main result shows that for the stratum $\mathcal{H}(2^{g-1})$, the counts in disjoint intervals converge to independent Poisson variables with means $\lambda_{[a,b]}=3\pi(b^2-a^2)$, and this extends to general strata with higher-order zeros, yielding analogous Poisson limits with modified means. The work hinges on Siegel-Veech constant asymptotics, precise control of exceptional loci, and measure-preserving transformations in period coordinates, highlighting a robust Poisson-limit phenomenon for closed-geodesic data in large-genus translation-surface moduli spaces.
Abstract
Let $S_g$ be a closed surface of genus $g$ and $\mathcal{H}_g$ be the moduli space of Abelian differentials on $S_g$. A stratum of $\mathcal{H}_g$, endowed with the Masur-Veech measure, becomes a probability space. Then the number of closed saddle connections with lengths in $[\frac{a}{\sqrt{g}},\frac{b}{\sqrt{g}}]$ on a random translation surface in the stratum is a random variable. We prove that when $g\to \infty$, the distribution of the random variable converges to a Poisson distributed random variable. This result answers a question of Masur, Rafi and Randecker.
