Bayesian inference for the fractional Calderón problem with a single measurement
Pu-Zhao Kow, Janne Nurminen, Jesse Railo
TL;DR
This work addresses the inverse problem of recovering a fractional Schrödinger potential from a single exterior measurement with additive Gaussian noise, formulated within a Bayesian framework. It introduces a reparametrized forward map and places priors on the transformed coefficient using both rescaled Gaussian priors and Gaussian sieve priors, enabling rigorous posterior contraction analysis. The main contributions are the derivation of logarithmic posterior contraction rates around the true coefficient, proofs of minimax optimality via instability results, refined forward and inverse problem estimates, and numerical demonstrations in one dimension. These results provide statistical guarantees and uncertainty quantification guidance for nonlocal Calderón-type problems with highly limited data. The paper also discusses Bernstein–von Mises considerations and includes practical MCMC-based illustrations of the Bayesian procedure.
Abstract
This paper investigates the consistency of a posterior distribution in the single-measurement fractional Calderón problem with additive Gaussian noise. We consider a Bayesian framework with rescaled and Gaussian sieve priors, using a collection of noisy, discrete observations taken from a suitable exterior domain. Our main result shows that the posterior distribution concentrates around the true parameter as the number of measurements increases. Furthermore, we establish tight convergence rates for the reconstruction error of the posterior mean. A central technical challenge is to obtain refined stability estimates for both the forward and inverse problems. In particular, the required forward estimates are delicate to obtain because the fractional elliptic problems do not enjoy as strong regularity theory as their classical counterparts.
