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Flatness of location-scale-shape models under the Wasserstein metric

Ayumu Fukushi, Yoshinori Nakanishi-Ohno, Takeru Matsuda

TL;DR

This work extends location-scale models by introducing the location-scale-shape family with a shape parameter $\xi$ that controls tail heaviness, enabling application to extreme-value theory within the Wasserstein geometric framework. The authors derive the Wasserstein score functions and the full Wasserstein information matrix in terms of the moment-generating function $M_f$, showing that the model is intrinsically flat yet not extrinsically flat under the $L^2$-Wasserstein metric, due to its warped-product structure. They provide explicit geometric constructions: an intrinsic flatness proof via a coordinate transformation to a unit-metric frame, and a demonstration that displacement interpolations do not, in general, preserve the family, except in the special case $\xi_1=\xi_2$. These results advance geometric statistics in the Wasserstein space and offer a foundation for Wasserstein-based inference in heavy-tailed models such as the GEV and GPD, with future work planned for multivariate extensions and statistical properties.

Abstract

In Wasserstein geometry, one-dimensional location-scale models are flat both intrinsically and extrinsically-that is, they are curvature-free as well as totally geodesic in the space of probability distributions. In this study, we introduce a class of one-dimensional statistical models, termed the location-scale-shape model, which generalizes several distributions used in extreme-value theory. This model has a shape parameter that specifies the tail heaviness. We investigate the Wasserstein geometry of the location-scale-shape model and show that it is intrinsically flat but extrinsically curved.

Flatness of location-scale-shape models under the Wasserstein metric

TL;DR

This work extends location-scale models by introducing the location-scale-shape family with a shape parameter that controls tail heaviness, enabling application to extreme-value theory within the Wasserstein geometric framework. The authors derive the Wasserstein score functions and the full Wasserstein information matrix in terms of the moment-generating function , showing that the model is intrinsically flat yet not extrinsically flat under the -Wasserstein metric, due to its warped-product structure. They provide explicit geometric constructions: an intrinsic flatness proof via a coordinate transformation to a unit-metric frame, and a demonstration that displacement interpolations do not, in general, preserve the family, except in the special case . These results advance geometric statistics in the Wasserstein space and offer a foundation for Wasserstein-based inference in heavy-tailed models such as the GEV and GPD, with future work planned for multivariate extensions and statistical properties.

Abstract

In Wasserstein geometry, one-dimensional location-scale models are flat both intrinsically and extrinsically-that is, they are curvature-free as well as totally geodesic in the space of probability distributions. In this study, we introduce a class of one-dimensional statistical models, termed the location-scale-shape model, which generalizes several distributions used in extreme-value theory. This model has a shape parameter that specifies the tail heaviness. We investigate the Wasserstein geometry of the location-scale-shape model and show that it is intrinsically flat but extrinsically curved.

Paper Structure

This paper contains 8 sections, 11 theorems, 80 equations, 3 figures.

Key Result

Proposition 1

$P_\theta(x)$ is nonincreasing in $\xi$ for fixed $x\in\mathbb{R},\mu\in\mathbb{R}$, and $\sigma>0$ .

Figures (3)

  • Figure 1: Densities of GEV.
  • Figure 2: Densities of GPD.
  • Figure 3: Comparison of intrinsic (left) and extrinsic (right) geodesics from the purple distribution $\mathrm{GEV}(0,1,0.2)$, to the yellow distribution $\mathrm{GEV}(2,1.5,0.4)$.

Theorems & Definitions (29)

  • Definition 1
  • Example 1
  • Example 2
  • Proposition 1
  • proof
  • Proposition 2
  • Remark 1
  • proof
  • Lemma 1
  • proof
  • ...and 19 more