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From Cannings model to Brownian motion conditioned on local time profile

Xiaodan Li, Chengshi Wang, Yushu Zheng

TL;DR

This work develops a comprehensive scaling-limit theory for genealogies generated by Cannings models, including time-inhomogeneous versions with varying generation sizes. By encoding Cannings trees with contour and height processes and linking their limits to a time-changed Brownian motion conditioned on a local-time profile, the authors connect discrete population genealogies to the continuum object $W^{\ell^{\sigma}}$, a process initially constructed by Warren–Yor and Aldous. The proof combines Aldous’ equivalence for contour convergence with a novel sequential coming-down-from-infinity analysis of a coalescent process, yielding tightness and finite-dimensional convergence that culminate in joint convergence of contour and height to the conditioned Brownian limit and its subtree distributions. The results extend the classical Cannings-Wright–Fisher/Moran frameworks, illustrating how inhomogeneity and local-time conditioning influence genealogies, and they open paths to studying perturbations, immigration, and other population-model generalizations within the same continuum-tree paradigm.

Abstract

We study the scaling limits of genealogical trees arising from Cannings models. Under suitable moment conditions, we show that the rescaled contour and height functions converge to a time change of Brownian motion conditioned on a given local time profile. This conditioned Brownian motion is a self-interacting diffusion constructed independently by Warren--Yor (1998) and Aldous (1998). A key ingredient in our proof is a sequential version of the coming-down-from-infinity property.

From Cannings model to Brownian motion conditioned on local time profile

TL;DR

This work develops a comprehensive scaling-limit theory for genealogies generated by Cannings models, including time-inhomogeneous versions with varying generation sizes. By encoding Cannings trees with contour and height processes and linking their limits to a time-changed Brownian motion conditioned on a local-time profile, the authors connect discrete population genealogies to the continuum object , a process initially constructed by Warren–Yor and Aldous. The proof combines Aldous’ equivalence for contour convergence with a novel sequential coming-down-from-infinity analysis of a coalescent process, yielding tightness and finite-dimensional convergence that culminate in joint convergence of contour and height to the conditioned Brownian limit and its subtree distributions. The results extend the classical Cannings-Wright–Fisher/Moran frameworks, illustrating how inhomogeneity and local-time conditioning influence genealogies, and they open paths to studying perturbations, immigration, and other population-model generalizations within the same continuum-tree paradigm.

Abstract

We study the scaling limits of genealogical trees arising from Cannings models. Under suitable moment conditions, we show that the rescaled contour and height functions converge to a time change of Brownian motion conditioned on a given local time profile. This conditioned Brownian motion is a self-interacting diffusion constructed independently by Warren--Yor (1998) and Aldous (1998). A key ingredient in our proof is a sequential version of the coming-down-from-infinity property.

Paper Structure

This paper contains 36 sections, 50 theorems, 276 equations, 1 figure.

Key Result

Theorem 1.1

Assume H1--H2. Define $\alpha(t) :=\frac{1}{4}\int_0^t\sigma(W^{\ell^\sigma}_s)^2\, \mathrm{d} s$. Let $\alpha^{-1}(t)$ be the inverse of $\alpha(t)$We will verify in Lemma lem:alpha that $\alpha$ is a.s. strictly increasing, so $\alpha^{-1}(t)$ is well-defined.. Then in the product space $(D[0, \infty))^2$ equipped with the product Skorokhod topology (where the functions on both sides are extend

Figures (1)

  • Figure 1: An illustration of the coalescent construction of the uniform $6$-point subtree. The vertical axis represents time decreasing from top to bottom. Each leaf $i=1,\ldots, 6$ is placed at height $x_i$ equal to its birth time, and each $b_{i,j}$ denotes the branching point at which the ancestral clusters of $i$ and $j$ merge. The final merge occurs at height $0$, which corresponds to the root.

Theorems & Definitions (109)

  • Theorem 1.1
  • Corollary 1.2
  • Remark 1.3
  • Remark 1.4
  • Definition 2.1: Cannings tree
  • Remark 2.2
  • Remark 2.3
  • Definition 2.4: Uniform $k$-point subtree induced by $g$
  • Remark 2.5
  • Theorem 2.6
  • ...and 99 more