From Cannings model to Brownian motion conditioned on local time profile
Xiaodan Li, Chengshi Wang, Yushu Zheng
TL;DR
This work develops a comprehensive scaling-limit theory for genealogies generated by Cannings models, including time-inhomogeneous versions with varying generation sizes. By encoding Cannings trees with contour and height processes and linking their limits to a time-changed Brownian motion conditioned on a local-time profile, the authors connect discrete population genealogies to the continuum object $W^{\ell^{\sigma}}$, a process initially constructed by Warren–Yor and Aldous. The proof combines Aldous’ equivalence for contour convergence with a novel sequential coming-down-from-infinity analysis of a coalescent process, yielding tightness and finite-dimensional convergence that culminate in joint convergence of contour and height to the conditioned Brownian limit and its subtree distributions. The results extend the classical Cannings-Wright–Fisher/Moran frameworks, illustrating how inhomogeneity and local-time conditioning influence genealogies, and they open paths to studying perturbations, immigration, and other population-model generalizations within the same continuum-tree paradigm.
Abstract
We study the scaling limits of genealogical trees arising from Cannings models. Under suitable moment conditions, we show that the rescaled contour and height functions converge to a time change of Brownian motion conditioned on a given local time profile. This conditioned Brownian motion is a self-interacting diffusion constructed independently by Warren--Yor (1998) and Aldous (1998). A key ingredient in our proof is a sequential version of the coming-down-from-infinity property.
