Central limit theorem for high temperature Ising models via martingale embedding
Xiao Fang, Yi-Kun Zhao
TL;DR
The paper develops a martingale-embedding framework to prove a central limit theorem for projections $W_n=\theta^T X$ of high-dimensional Ising models under a high-temperature Poincaré inequality, providing a non-asymptotic $\mathcal{W}_2$ bound in terms of two-point and three-point covariances. The method represents $W_n$ via a Föllmer-process-based martingale and compares it to a Gaussian, with the bound depending on covariances computed under varying external fields. It applies the result to two Ising-model regimes: (i) finite-range interactions on a lattice yielding CLT for the total magnetization, and (ii) ferromagnetic models under Dobrushin’s condition with asymptotic normality after standardization when the external field is bounded. The approach extends to continuous vectors obeying a Poincaré inequality and offers a novel CLT route beyond spatially structured models. Altogether, it provides a covariance-type bound and a new high-dimensional CLT paradigm for dependent vectors under a Poincaré framework.
Abstract
We use martingale embeddings to prove a central limit theorem (CLT) for projections of high-dimensional random vectors satisfying a Poincaré inequality. We obtain a non-asymptotic error bound for the CLT in 2-Wasserstein distance involving two-point and three-point covariances. We present two illustrative applications to Ising models: one with finite-range interactions and the other in the ferromagnetic case under the Dobrushin condition.
