Exoplanet climate characterization with transit asymmetries -- A comprehensive population study from the optical to the infrared
Ludmila Carone, Christiane Helling, Sebastian Gernjak, Hanna Leitner, Tamara Janz
TL;DR
This work develops a comprehensive, three-tier modelling framework to characterize exoplanet climates and clouds by exploiting transit depth asymmetries from optical to infrared wavelengths. It combines a 3D ExoRad GCM grid for tidally locked gas giants with a kinetic cloud formation model and radiative transfer to generate synthetic morning/evening transit spectra across warm to ultrahot regimes. The WASP-39b case study demonstrates that iron-free clouds with reduced submicron mass load better reproduce optical–IR data, while latitudinal cloud coverage strongly modulates optical limb asymmetries, particularly for ultrahot Jupiters. Across a broad planet population, the study identifies optimal wavelength windows and host-star types for observing terminator asymmetries with PLATO, CHEOPS, TESS, and JWST, highlighting a promising path for using transit asymmetries to diagnose climate regimes and cloud properties in 3D exoplanet atmospheres.
Abstract
Space missions (CHEOPS, JWST, PLATO) facilitate detailed characterization of exoplanets. This work provides a framework to characterize cloud and climate properties of close-in gas giants via transit depth asymmetries from the optical to the infrared (0.33 ...10 $μ$m). The AFGKM ExoRad 3D GCM grid provides gas temperature profiles for an ensemble of 50 tidally locked gaseous planets orbiting diverse host stars. It is combined with a detailed kinetic cloud formation model. The end result is a set of synthetic transit spectra and evening-to-morning transit asymmetries that span climate regimes: warm (T=800 K ... 1000K), intermediately hot (T=1200 K ... 2000 K) and ultrahot (T =2200 K ... 2600 K). WASP-39b observations suggest iron-free clouds with less abundant cloud condensation nuclei than previously expected. The ensemble study shows that clouds increase transit limb differences due to asymmetries in cloud coverage and by enhancing horizontal differences in the gas temperatures. For hot planets, evening-to-morning differences of up to 150 ppm are suggested in the optical and 100 ppm in the infrared (2-8 micron). For ultra-hot Jupiters, evening-to-morning transit differences are dominated by the morning cloud for a cloud-free evening limb: They are strongly negative in the PLATO band (0.5-1~$μ$m, -500 ppm), moderately negative in the near-infrared (1-1.5~$μ$m, -200 ppm) and moderately positive (+100 ppm) for $λ> 2μ$m. For a partly cloudy evening terminator, the evening-to-morning transit asymmetry is moderately positive in the whole wavelength range. Warm Jupiter planets exhibit negligible transit asymmetries. PLATO and JWST transit asymmetry observations between 1-2 $μ$m are optimal to characterize cloudy planetary atmospheres around K -A stars. JWST observations are most effective for M star planets with transit differences > +500 ppm for 8-10 $μ$m.
