Dynamical Modeling of Temperature and Smoke Evolution in a Thermal-Runaway Event of a Large-Format Lithium-ion Battery in a Mine Tunnel
Khadija Omar Said, Yukta Pareek, Satadru Dey, Ashish Ranjan Kumar
TL;DR
This paper addresses the challenge of predicting temperature and smoke evolution during thermal runaway of large-format lithium-ion batteries in underground tunnels, where high-fidelity CFD is prohibitively expensive. It proposes a reduced-order approach based on grey-box, data-driven state-space models trained on Fire Dynamics Simulator data for two battery capacities (60 Ah and 243 Ah) and multiple airflow conditions, using a node-wise cascading structure to capture spatial coupling. The results show that the ROMs reproduce dominant transient trends in temperature and smoke with reasonable accuracy and provide uncertainty assessments, enabling faster safety analyses. The framework offers a practical, scalable tool for mine safety planning and can be extended to larger network layouts through ensemble CFD-ROM strategies.
Abstract
Large-format lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) provide effective energy storage solutions for high-power equipment used in underground mining operations. They have high Columbic efficiency and minimal heat and emission footprints. However, improper use of LIBs, accidents, or other factors may increase the probability of thermal runaway (TR), a rapid combustion reaction that discharges toxic and flammable substances. Several such incidents have been documented in mines. Since repeatable TR experiments to uncover the transient-state propagation of TR are expensive and hazardous, high-fidelity models are usually developed to mimic the impact of these events. They are resource-intensive and are impractical to develop for many scenarios that could be observed in a mine. Therefore, dynamic models within a reduced-order framework were constructed to represent the transient-state combustion event. Reduced order models (ROMs) reasonably replicate trends in temperature and smoke, showing strong alignment with the ground-truth dataset.
