The frog model with death revisited
Samyah Ahmed, Matthew Junge
TL;DR
This work analyzes recurrence in the frog model with death and drift on the infinite $d$-ary tree by introducing a recursive frog model (RFM) that remains tractable under death. The key idea is to show that recurrence of $\mathrm{RFM}(d,q,p)$ implies recurrence of the original model $\mathrm{FM}(d,q,p)$, and to prove a positive-probability recurrence for a concrete parameter rectangle $p\in[0.4950,0.4975]$ and $q\in[0.9999998,1]$ for all $d\ge 2$. The authors establish nonmonotonicity in the drift parameter within this regime, highlighting nuanced phase structure when death is present, and supplement the analysis with explicit transience criteria and a random-walk excursion lemma in the appendix. The methodological contribution lies in leveraging first- and second-moment bounds within the RFM framework, aided by a geometric thinning factor $\mathfrak{q}$ and the Paley-Zygmund inequality, to derive positive recurrence while avoiding the complications that death imposes on self-similar approaches.
Abstract
We prove that the probability the frog model with death and drift on the $d$-ary tree is recurrent can be made positive and thus is not monotone in the drift parameter.
