Consistency of Nonparametric Density Estimators in CAT(0) Orthant Space
Yuki Takazawa, Tomonari Sei
TL;DR
This work establishes the statistical consistency of two nonparametric density estimators in CAT(0) orthant spaces, including BHV tree space, by extending log-concave projection theory and proving its continuity, and by introducing a boundary-bias–corrected kernel density estimator with uniform consistency. It shows that a log-concave projection exists and is unique (nu-almost everywhere) under mild moment conditions, and proves the continuity of the projection map with respect to Wasserstein-1 convergence, enabling consistency results for the log-concave MLE. For kernel density estimation, the authors diagnose boundary bias in the standard KDE on orthant spaces and propose a modified kernel, proving uniform consistency under standard bandwidth assumptions and extending the results to product spaces. The findings advance nonparametric inference on phylogenetic-tree data, offering theoretically sound tools for density estimation in complex geometric spaces and highlighting avenues for computational and methodological extensions in high dimensions.
Abstract
The inference of evolutionary histories is a central problem in evolutionary biology. The analysis of a sample of phylogenetic trees can be conducted in Billera-Holmes-Vogtmann tree space, which is a CAT(0) metric space of phylogenetic trees. The globally non-positively curved (CAT(0)) property of this space enables the extension of various statistical techniques. In the problem of nonparametric density estimation, two primary methods, kernel density estimation and log-concave maximum likelihood estimation, have been proposed, yet their theoretical properties remain largely unexplored. In this paper, we address this gap by proving the consistency of these estimators in a more general setting$\unicode{x2014}$CAT(0) orthant spaces, which include BHV tree space. We extend log-concave approximation techniques to this setting and establish consistency via the continuity of the log-concave projection map. We also modify the kernel density estimator to correct boundary bias and establish uniform consistency using empirical process theory.
