Advanced creep modelling for polymers: A variable-order fractional calculus approach
José Geraldo Telles Ribeiro, Americo Cunha
TL;DR
The paper tackles long-term creep prediction in polymers, where traditional fixed-order rheological models fail to capture the observed power-law and evolving viscoelastic behavior. It introduces a single variable-order springpot, governed by a time-varying order $\beta(t)$, to model continuous transitions from glassy to rubbery states, with six material and transition parameters $(E,\eta,\beta_0,\beta_\infty,\gamma,\delta)$ calibrated via cross-entropy optimization. The framework successfully fits creep data for polypropylene and PVC at 20°C across multiple stress levels and demonstrates predictive accuracy for unseen conditions, while revealing stress-dependent trends in stiffness and fractional-order evolution. This VO approach offers a parsimonious yet flexible tool for reliable, long-term predictions of creep in structural polymer components and can be extended to other viscoelastic materials and loading histories.
Abstract
Polymer-based plastics exhibit time-dependent deformation under constant stress, known as creep, which can lead to rupture or static fatigue. A common misconception is that materials under tolerable static loads remain unaffected over time. Accurate long-term deformation predictions require experimental creep data, but conventional models based on simple rheological elements like springs and dampers often fall short, lacking the flexibility to capture the power-law behaviour intrinsic to creep processes. The springpot, a fractional calculus-based element, has been used to provide a power-law relationship; however, its fixed-order nature limits its accuracy, particularly when the deformation rate evolves over time. This article introduces a variable-order (VO) springpot model that dynamically adapts to the evolving viscoelastic properties of polymeric materials during creep, capturing changes between glassy, transition and rubbery phases. Model parameters are calibrated using a robust procedure for model identification based on the cross-entropy (CE) method, resulting in physically consistent and accurate predictions. This advanced modelling framework not only overcomes the limitations of the fixed-order models but also establishes a foundation for applying VO mechanics to other viscoelastic materials, providing a valuable tool for predicting long-term material performance in structural applications.
