Increasing Value of Information Implies Separable Utility
Michel de Lara
TL;DR
This paper studies how information becomes more valuable in decision problems with incomplete state information by framing decisions as closed convex comprehensive sets of payoff acts and exploiting a duality with beliefs. It introduces c-utility act sets and a Minkowski-addition structure to capture how information value rises when decisions are multiplied and utilities are added (additively separable utility). The main result shows that an information-valuable decision-maker M relative to L exists if and only if there is a c-utility act set T such that M = L ⊗ T (fusion), equivalently the difference of their value functions is convex. The authors formalize this via dioids, defining union and fusion operators on decision-makers, and demonstrate that fusion is the precise form of flexibility that guarantees more valuable information, with connections to and extensions of prior work (Whitmeyer 2024, Denti 2022, Yoder 2022). The framework provides a robust, generalized lens for assessing VoI and offers a bridge between abstract convex analysis and classic decision problems.
Abstract
We consider decision-making under incomplete information about an unknown state of nature. Utility acts (that is, utility vectors indexed by states of nature) and beliefs (probability distributions over the states of nature) are naturally paired by bilinear duality, giving the expected utility. With this pairing, an expected utility maximizer (DM) is characterized by a continuous closed convex comprehensive set of utility acts (c-utility act set). We show that DM M values information more than DM L if and only if the c-utility act set of DM M is obtained by Minkowski addition from the cutility act set of DM L. In the classic setting of decision theory, this is interpreted as the equivalence between more valuable information, on the one hand, and multiplying decisions and adding utility, on the other hand (additively separable utility). We also introduce the algebraic structure of dioid to describe two operations between DMs: union (adding options) and fusion (multiplying options and adding utilities). We say that DM M is more exible by union (resp. by fusion) than DM L if DM M is obtained by union (resp. by fusion) from DM L. Our main result is that DM M values information more than DM L if and only if DM M is more exible by fusion than DM L. We also study when exibility by union can lead to more valuable information.
