Factorial cumulants of proton multiplicity near a critical point using maximum entropy freeze-out prescription
Jamie Karthein, Maneesha Pradeep, Krishna Rajagopal, Mikhail Stephanov, Yi Yin
TL;DR
The paper develops a first equilibrium-based baseline for proton multiplicity fluctuations near a conjectured QCD critical point by mapping the 3D Ising universality to a parametrized QCD equation of state and applying a maximum-entropy freeze-out prescription. It identifies how factorial cumulants, when normalized, isolate critical fluctuations and depend on non-universal mapping parameters through clear scaling relations: the peak location scales with $\bar{\rho}=\rho w^{1-1/(\beta\delta)}$ and the peak height with $w^{-1-1/\delta}$, while higher cumulants obey $\Delta T_f^{1+1/\delta-k}$. The results, including the impact of freeze-out offsets $\Delta T_f$ and the role of direct versus decay protons, provide a controlled equilibrium baseline for interpreting heavy-ion data and guiding future out-of-equilibrium analyses and Bayesian constraints on the critical-point location.
Abstract
We present the first application of the maximum-entropy freeze-out prescription to calculate factorial cumulants of proton multiplicities near the conjectured QCD critical point in thermal equilibrium. We map the Gibbs free energy of the 3D Ising model to a parameterized class of possible EoS near QCD critical point. This equilibrium baseline highlights how factorial cumulants isolate critical fluctuations by subtracting trivial self-correlations, setting the stage for future out-of-equilibrium analyses. We identify the key non-universal aspects of the mapping to the Ising model that strongly control the characteristic properties, such as magnitude and location of the peaks of the factorial cumulants along the freeze-out curve.
