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Large deviations and almost sure convergence for the extremes of branching Lévy processes

Runjia Luo, Yan-Xia Ren, Renming Song, Rui Zhang

TL;DR

This paper analyzes the extreme behavior of a supercritical branching Lévy process on $\mathbb{R}$ with regularly varying tails. By combining a one-big-jump lemma, many-to-one reductions, and precise tail asymptotics, it establishes upper and lower large-deviation results for the maximum $R_t$ and for the point process $\mathbb{X}_t$, scaled by $\Lambda(t)$ relative to the heavy-tail scale $h(t)$. It also derives almost-sure convergence results for the maximal displacement and related functionals, showing that $R_t$ ultimately concentrates around the slowly varying scaling $H(e^{-\lambda t}\log t)$ up to a random factor $(\vartheta^*W)^{1/\alpha}$, and characterizes the full limiting structure under conditioning on extremes. The work connects extreme-value limits, random-measure convergence, and almost-sure asymptotics in heavy-tailed branching systems, providing a comprehensive large-deviation and almost-sure framework for extremes of branching Lévy processes.

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of supercritical branching Markov processes $\{\mathbb{X}_t, t \ge0\}$ whose spatial motions are Lévy processes with regularly varying tails. Recently, Ren et al. [Appl. Probab. 61 (2024)] studied the weak convergence of the extremes of $\{\mathbb{X}_t, t \ge0\}$. In this paper, we establish the large deviation of $\{\mathbb{X}_t, t \ge0\}$ as well as some almost sure convergence results of the maximum of $\mathbb{X}_t$.

Large deviations and almost sure convergence for the extremes of branching Lévy processes

TL;DR

This paper analyzes the extreme behavior of a supercritical branching Lévy process on with regularly varying tails. By combining a one-big-jump lemma, many-to-one reductions, and precise tail asymptotics, it establishes upper and lower large-deviation results for the maximum and for the point process , scaled by relative to the heavy-tail scale . It also derives almost-sure convergence results for the maximal displacement and related functionals, showing that ultimately concentrates around the slowly varying scaling up to a random factor , and characterizes the full limiting structure under conditioning on extremes. The work connects extreme-value limits, random-measure convergence, and almost-sure asymptotics in heavy-tailed branching systems, providing a comprehensive large-deviation and almost-sure framework for extremes of branching Lévy processes.

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of supercritical branching Markov processes whose spatial motions are Lévy processes with regularly varying tails. Recently, Ren et al. [Appl. Probab. 61 (2024)] studied the weak convergence of the extremes of . In this paper, we establish the large deviation of as well as some almost sure convergence results of the maximum of .

Paper Structure

This paper contains 13 sections, 29 theorems, 343 equations.

Key Result

Theorem 1.1

If $\Lambda:[0,\infty)\to (0,\infty)$ satisfies $\lim\limits_{t \to \infty} \dfrac{\Lambda(t)}{h(t)}=\infty$, then for any $\varphi\in \mathcal{H}(\mathbb{R})$, where $C(\varphi)$ is defined in def:C. In particular, where $\vartheta^*$ is defined in d:varthetastar.

Theorems & Definitions (33)

  • Theorem 1.1
  • Corollary 1.2
  • Theorem 1.3
  • Corollary 1.4
  • Remark 1.5
  • Theorem 1.6
  • Theorem 1.7
  • Lemma 2.1
  • Lemma 2.2: Many-to-one formula
  • Lemma 2.3
  • ...and 23 more