Continuum models describing probabilistic motion of tagged agents in exclusion processes
Michael J. Plank, Matthew J. Simpson
TL;DR
This paper develops a continuum framework for probabilistic motion in crowding-limited exclusion processes by deriving a PDE for the PDF of tagged agents, $P^{(s)}(x,y,t)$, and coupling it to macroscopic densities $C^{(s)}(x,y,t)$ under total density $T= extstyleigl( extstyle\sum_s C^{(s)}igr)$. The authors start from a stochastic lattice-based ABM with crowding, motility bias, and proliferation, and obtain continuum limits that yield nonlinear advection-diffusion equations for densities and a corresponding PDF equation for tagged trajectories, with flux terms that explicitly include crowding through factors like $(1-C)$ or $(1-T)$. They demonstrate through extensive numerical comparisons that the PDE for $P^{(s)}$ captures both the mean trajectory and distributional variability of tagged agents across unbiased/bias cases and with/without proliferation, and they discuss the accuracy relative to existing moment-based approaches, highlighting the added value of full PDFs for likelihood-based inference and trajectory-data analysis. The framework generalizes to multiple subpopulations, enabling analysis of heterogeneous migration and proliferation, and lays the groundwork for parameter inference and model selection from combined density and trajectory data, with potential extensions to lattice-free formulations and lineage tracking. Overall, the work provides a physically interpretable, computationally efficient method to quantify and predict trajectory distributions in crowded cellular systems.
Abstract
Lattice-based random walk models are widely used to study populations of migrating cells with motility bias and proliferation. Crowding is typically represented by volume exclusion, where each lattice site can be occupied by at most one agent and conflicting moves are aborted. This framework enables simulations that yield both population-level spatiotemporal agent density profiles and individual agent trajectories, comparable to experimental cell-tracking data. Previous continuum models for tagged-agent trajectories captured trajectory information only, and overlooked any measure of variability. This is an important limitation since trajectory data is inherently variable. To address this limitation, here we derive partial differential equations for the probability density function of tagged-agent trajectories. This continuum description has a clear physical interpretation, agrees well with distributional data from stochastic simulations, reveals the role of stochasticity in different contexts, and generalises to multiple subpopulations of distinct agents.
