Chebyshev's bias for modular forms
Shin-ya Koyama, Arshay Sheth
TL;DR
This paper investigates Chebyshev-type biases in the signs of Fourier coefficients of modular forms. It demonstrates that, under the Deep Riemann Hypothesis framework, the bias is completely governed by $m(f)=\operatorname{ord}_{s=1/2}L(s,f)$, yielding a positive bias when $m(f)=0$ and a negative bias when $m(f)\ge 1$, with refinements under GRH. The authors provide explicit computations of $m(f)$ in several level-1 examples, and verify super-positivity and Mizumoto positivity for Ramanujan-type forms, thereby giving concrete, unconditional (in some cases) manifestations of the bias phenomenon. The work connects central-value vanishing to Chebyshev-type bias through Satake parameter analysis and automorphic $L$-functions, offering a precise, testable framework for bias in modular forms and potentially broader automorphic contexts.
Abstract
We study Chebyshev's bias for the signs of Fourier coefficients of cuspidal newforms on $Γ_0(N)$. Our main result shows that the bias towards either sign is completely determined by the order of vanishing of the $L$-function $L(s, f)$ at the central point of the critical strip. We then give several examples of modular forms where we explicitly compute the order of vanishing of $L(s, f)$ at the central point and as a by-product, verify the super-positivity property, in the sense of Yun--Zhang (2017), for these examples.
