Cosmography with DESI DR2 and SN data
Gabriel Rodrigues, Rayff de Souza, Jailson Alcaniz
TL;DR
This study uses a model-independent cosmographic approach with a fourth-order $y$-redshift expansion to constrain the kinematic parameters $H_0$, $q_0$, $j_0$, and $s_0$ from DESI DR2 BAO measurements and Type Ia SN data. By performing an MCMC analysis on a combined dataset of DESI DR2 with SN catalogs (DESY5, Pantheon+, Union3) and fixing the appropriate priors, the authors test the ΛCDM benchmark $j_0=1$. They find that DESI DR2 alone yields $j_0$ consistent with unity at the $2σ$ level, but adding SN data shifts $j_0$ away from 1 with increasing significance, reaching $>5σ$ for DESI DR2+$DESY5$. These results provide a model-independent indication of dynamic dark energy and offer a complementary cross-check to parametric analyses by the DESI Collaboration.
Abstract
In this paper, we present a kinematic analysis of the Universe's expansion history using cosmography, with a particular emphasis on the jerk parameter $j_0$, which is equal to one in the standard $Λ$CDM scenario. We use distance measurements from DESI DR2, both independently and in combination with current Type Ia supernova (SN) samples, to constrain the cosmographic parameters up to the fourth order without relying on a specific cosmological model. Our results show that for the DESI DR2 data alone, the $Λ$CDM prediction ($j_0 = 1$) falls within the 2$σ$ confidence region. However, when DESI DR2 is combined with the Union3, Pantheon+, and DESY5 SN datasets, the result obtained is discrepant with the $Λ$CDM model at about 3.4$σ$, 4.1$σ$, and 5.4$σ$, respectively. These results are consistent with the conclusions based on dark energy parameterizations reported by the DESI Collaboration, which suggest the presence of a dynamic dark energy component in the universe.
