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Spatial Disparities in Fire Shelter Accessibility: Capacity Challenges in the Palisades and Eaton Fires

Su Yeon Han, Yubin Lee, Jooyoung Yoo, Jeon-Young Kang, Jinwoo Park, Soe W. Myint, Eunsang Cho, Xin Gu, Joon-Seok Kim

Abstract

The increasing frequency and severity of wildfire in California, exacerbated by prolonged drought and environmental changes, pose significant challenges to urban community resilience and equitable emergency response. The study investigates issues of accessibility to shelters during the Palisades and Eaton Fires which started in January 2025 in Southern California that led to over 180,000 displacements and the loss of 16,000 structures. Despite coordinated efforts of many organizations' emergency assistance, shelter shortages left many evacuees without safety or accessible refuge. This research aims to measure shelter accessibility during the fires' peak, evaluate whether existing shelter capacity met the demand, and identify spatial disparities in access. Findings reveal severe shelter shortages and pronounced inequities in access to shelters, particularly in geographically isolated regions and mountainous areas. To address these challenges, we implemented shelter placement strategies using both capacity-based and distance-based approaches, demonstrating potential improvements in accessibility and equity. The findings underscore the critical need for strategic shelter planning and infrastructure development to enhance disaster readiness and reduce vulnerability in regions that frequently experience wildfires.

Spatial Disparities in Fire Shelter Accessibility: Capacity Challenges in the Palisades and Eaton Fires

Abstract

The increasing frequency and severity of wildfire in California, exacerbated by prolonged drought and environmental changes, pose significant challenges to urban community resilience and equitable emergency response. The study investigates issues of accessibility to shelters during the Palisades and Eaton Fires which started in January 2025 in Southern California that led to over 180,000 displacements and the loss of 16,000 structures. Despite coordinated efforts of many organizations' emergency assistance, shelter shortages left many evacuees without safety or accessible refuge. This research aims to measure shelter accessibility during the fires' peak, evaluate whether existing shelter capacity met the demand, and identify spatial disparities in access. Findings reveal severe shelter shortages and pronounced inequities in access to shelters, particularly in geographically isolated regions and mountainous areas. To address these challenges, we implemented shelter placement strategies using both capacity-based and distance-based approaches, demonstrating potential improvements in accessibility and equity. The findings underscore the critical need for strategic shelter planning and infrastructure development to enhance disaster readiness and reduce vulnerability in regions that frequently experience wildfires.

Paper Structure

This paper contains 26 sections, 3 equations, 11 figures, 3 tables, 2 algorithms.

Figures (11)

  • Figure 1: Study area
  • Figure 2: Population distribution based on LandScan Global 2023 data. Interactive version available at: https://sites.google.com/view/palisades-and-eton-fires/figure-2
  • Figure 3: A diagram depicting work flow of this study
  • Figure 4: Travel times from each demand location (i.e., each grid cell) to its nearest shelter, based on Case 4 described in Table \ref{['tab:cases']} and illustrated in Figure \ref{['fig:workflow']}.
  • Figure 5: Shelter accessibility from evacuation order and warning zones on January 12, assuming road closures but no traffic congestion. Interactive version available at: https://sites.google.com/view/palisades-and-eton-fires/figure-5
  • ...and 6 more figures