What's Missing in Vision-Language Models? Probing Their Struggles with Causal Order Reasoning
Zhaotian Weng, Haoxuan Li, Xin Eric Wang, Kuan-Hao Huang, Jieyu Zhao
TL;DR
Vision-language models demonstrate strong object and activity recognition but falter on causal order reasoning. The paper introduces VQA-Causal and VCR-Causal to isolate causal understanding via caption pairs that differ only in causal order, revealing near-random performance across diverse models. A data-level analysis shows causal expressions are extremely scarce in pretraining data, motivating a hard-negative fine-tuning strategy (CausalCLIP) that improves causal reasoning while preserving downstream tasks. The work underscores a core gap in multimodal causal understanding and provides a practical, data-centric path toward bridging it, with implications for future architectural and dataset design.
Abstract
Despite the impressive performance of vision-language models (VLMs) on downstream tasks, their ability to understand and reason about causal relationships in visual inputs remains unclear. Robust causal reasoning is fundamental to solving complex high-level reasoning tasks, yet existing benchmarks often include a mixture of reasoning questions, and VLMs can frequently exploit object recognition and activity identification as shortcuts to arrive at the correct answers, making it challenging to truly assess their causal reasoning abilities. To bridge this gap, we introduce VQA-Causal and VCR-Causal, two new benchmarks specifically designed to isolate and rigorously evaluate VLMs' causal reasoning abilities. Our findings reveal that while VLMs excel in object and activity recognition, they perform poorly on causal reasoning tasks, often only marginally surpassing random guessing. Further analysis suggests that this limitation stems from a severe lack of causal expressions in widely used training datasets, where causal relationships are rarely explicitly conveyed. We additionally explore fine-tuning strategies with hard negative cases, showing that targeted fine-tuning can improve model's causal reasoning while maintaining generalization and downstream performance. Our study highlights a key gap in current VLMs and lays the groundwork for future work on causal understanding.
