Mazur's growth number conjecture and congruences
Anwesh Ray
TL;DR
This work investigates the persistence of Mazur's Growth Number Conjecture for $p^ abla$-Selmer groups in $ abla$-extensions of imaginary quadratic fields under $p$-congruences of Galois representations. It develops a two-variable Iwasawa-theoretic framework to compare Selmer groups attached to elliptic curves and to modular forms congruent mod $p$, and proves that under explicit hypotheses (including the two-variable Iwasawa main conjecture and Heegner-type conditions) the Selmer group over the anticyclotomic/cyclotomic sum is cotorsion with $oldsymbol{}=0$ and $ lambda=1$, yielding Mazur's conjecture for $(E,K,p)$. It further extends these congruence-propagation results to Greenberg Selmer groups attached to $p$-ordinary Hecke eigenforms with residual isomorphism to $E[p]$, and shows that non-anticyclotomic specializations have finite corank, giving bounded Mordell–Weil ranks in these towers; an application to Hida families demonstrates weight-variable congruences preserve the finiteness properties. The results connect Iwasawa invariants, Heegner classes, and $p$-adic $L$-functions to derive explicit, testable criteria for rank stability in families of elliptic curves and modular forms. Overall, the paper advances the understanding of how $p$-congruences influence Selmer growth and rank behavior in rich Iwasawa-theoretic settings.
Abstract
Motivated by the work of Greenberg-Vatsal and Emerton-Pollack-Weston, I investigate the extent to which Mazur's conjecture on the growth of Selmer ranks in $\mathbb{Z}_p$-extensions of an imaginary quadratic field persists under $p$-congruences between Galois representations. As a first step, I establish Mazur's conjecture for certain triples $(E, K, p)$ under explicit hypotheses. Building on this, I prove analogous results for Greenberg Selmer groups attached to modular forms that are congruent mod $p$ to $E$, including all specializations arising from Hida families of fixed tame level. In particular, I show that the Mordell-Weil ranks in non-anticyclotomic $\mathbb{Z}_p$-extensions of $K$ remain bounded for elliptic curves $E'$ such that $E[p]$ and $E'[p]$ are isomorphic as Galois modules.
