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Measuring inequality in society-oriented Lotka--Volterra-type kinetic equations

Marco Menale, Giuseppe Toscani

TL;DR

The paper addresses measuring inequality in a two-population system described by coupled Fokker--Planck equations whose mean quantities obey Lotka--Volterra dynamics. It introduces the time evolution of the coefficient of variation as a high-signal metric to track inequality in oscillatory, nonstationary settings, linking it to the Gini index through analytic relationships and quasi-equilibria. The deposit--loan kinetic model is used to illustrate how distributions evolve under interactions, risk, and redistribution, showing that inequality tends to decrease despite oscillations, especially under moderate risk where Gamma quasi-equilibria are informative. This work provides a practical framework for inequality assessment in socio-economic systems lacking a stationary state and demonstrates the usefulness of kinetic methods in interpreting macro-level inequality from micro-level interactions.

Abstract

We present a possible approach to measuring inequality in a system of coupled Fokker-Planck-type equations that describe the evolution of distribution densities for two populations interacting pairwise due to social and/or economic factors. The macroscopic dynamics of their mean values follow a Lotka-Volterra system of ordinary differential equations. Unlike classical models of wealth and opinion formation, which tend to converge toward a steady-state profile, the oscillatory behavior of these densities only leads to the formation of local equilibria within the Fokker-Planck system. This makes tracking the evolution of most inequality measures challenging. However, an insightful perspective on the problem is obtained by using the coefficient of variation, a simple inequality measure closely linked to the Gini index. Numerical experiments confirm that, despite the system's oscillatory nature, inequality initially tends to decrease.

Measuring inequality in society-oriented Lotka--Volterra-type kinetic equations

TL;DR

The paper addresses measuring inequality in a two-population system described by coupled Fokker--Planck equations whose mean quantities obey Lotka--Volterra dynamics. It introduces the time evolution of the coefficient of variation as a high-signal metric to track inequality in oscillatory, nonstationary settings, linking it to the Gini index through analytic relationships and quasi-equilibria. The deposit--loan kinetic model is used to illustrate how distributions evolve under interactions, risk, and redistribution, showing that inequality tends to decrease despite oscillations, especially under moderate risk where Gamma quasi-equilibria are informative. This work provides a practical framework for inequality assessment in socio-economic systems lacking a stationary state and demonstrates the usefulness of kinetic methods in interpreting macro-level inequality from micro-level interactions.

Abstract

We present a possible approach to measuring inequality in a system of coupled Fokker-Planck-type equations that describe the evolution of distribution densities for two populations interacting pairwise due to social and/or economic factors. The macroscopic dynamics of their mean values follow a Lotka-Volterra system of ordinary differential equations. Unlike classical models of wealth and opinion formation, which tend to converge toward a steady-state profile, the oscillatory behavior of these densities only leads to the formation of local equilibria within the Fokker-Planck system. This makes tracking the evolution of most inequality measures challenging. However, an insightful perspective on the problem is obtained by using the coefficient of variation, a simple inequality measure closely linked to the Gini index. Numerical experiments confirm that, despite the system's oscillatory nature, inequality initially tends to decrease.

Paper Structure

This paper contains 11 sections, 47 equations, 4 figures, 1 table.

Figures (4)

  • Figure 1: Evolution of the system for $p=\frac{1}{2}$ in both populations. Panel on the left: evolution of coefficients of variation, $c_f(t)$ and $c_g(t)$. Panel on the right: evolution of coefficients of variation, $c_f(t)$ and $c_g(t)$, along with mean values, $m_f(t)$ and $m_g(t)$. Initial data $(m_f(0), m_g(0), c_f(0), c_g(0))=(4,\, 3,\, 2,\, 1)$.
  • Figure 2: Evolution of the system for $p=\frac{1}{2}$ for the population and $p=1$ for the second population. Panel on the left: evolution of coefficients of variation, $c_f(t)$ and $c_g(t)$. Panel on the right: evolution of coefficients of variation, $c_f(t)$ and $c_v(t)$, along with mean values, $m_f(t)$ and $m_g(t)$. Initial data $(m_f(0), m_g(0), c_f(0), c_g(0))=(4,\, 3,\, 2,\, 1)$.
  • Figure 3: Evolution of coefficients of variation, $c_f(t)$ and $c_g(t)$, with a reduction of values $\sigma_f$ and $\sigma_g$ of the microscopic interactions. Panel on the right: $p=\frac{1}{2}$ for both populations. Panel on the left: $p=\frac{1}{2}$ for the first population and $p=1$ for the second population. Initial data $(m_f(0), m_g(0), c_f(0), c_g(0))=(4,\, 3,\, 2,\, 1)$
  • Figure 4: Evolution of the system for $p=\frac{1}{2}$ in both populations. Comparison of the coefficients of variation between the solutions of the system and the quasi-equilibrium solutions. Initial data $(m_f(0), m_g(0), c_f(0), c_g(0))=(4,\, 3,\, 2,\, 1)$.