Quantization of Probability Distributions via Divide-and-Conquer: Convergence and Error Propagation under Distributional Arithmetic Operations
Bilgesu Arif Bilgin, Olof Hallqvist Elias, Michael Selby, Phillip Stanley-Marbell
TL;DR
This work introduces a divide-and-conquer quantization algorithm that builds a 2^n-atom discrete representation of any continuous distribution with finite mean, providing a simple and computable upper bound in Wasserstein-1 distance. It proves that, under a split-function framework, the error decays at quantifiable rates and remains stable under distributional arithmetic, with mean-preserving properties and tail-dependent behavior analyzed. The paper also provides comprehensive numerical experiments showing near-optimal convergence in many cases, demonstrated stability during arithmetic operations, and favorable comparisons to Monte Carlo methods. These results offer a deterministic, robust alternative to Monte Carlo for propagating uncertainty through arithmetic operations, with potential impact on probabilistic computing and stochastic numerical methods.
Abstract
This article studies a general divide-and-conquer algorithm for approximating continuous one-dimensional probability distributions with finite mean. The article presents a numerical study that compares pre-existing approximation schemes with a special focus on the stability of the discrete approximations when they undergo arithmetic operations. The main results are a simple upper bound of the approximation error in terms of the Wasserstein-1 distance that is valid for all continuous distributions with finite mean. In many use-cases, the studied method achieve optimal rate of convergence, and numerical experiments show that the algorithm is more stable than pre-existing approximation schemes in the context of arithmetic operations.
