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Quantization of Probability Distributions via Divide-and-Conquer: Convergence and Error Propagation under Distributional Arithmetic Operations

Bilgesu Arif Bilgin, Olof Hallqvist Elias, Michael Selby, Phillip Stanley-Marbell

TL;DR

This work introduces a divide-and-conquer quantization algorithm that builds a 2^n-atom discrete representation of any continuous distribution with finite mean, providing a simple and computable upper bound in Wasserstein-1 distance. It proves that, under a split-function framework, the error decays at quantifiable rates and remains stable under distributional arithmetic, with mean-preserving properties and tail-dependent behavior analyzed. The paper also provides comprehensive numerical experiments showing near-optimal convergence in many cases, demonstrated stability during arithmetic operations, and favorable comparisons to Monte Carlo methods. These results offer a deterministic, robust alternative to Monte Carlo for propagating uncertainty through arithmetic operations, with potential impact on probabilistic computing and stochastic numerical methods.

Abstract

This article studies a general divide-and-conquer algorithm for approximating continuous one-dimensional probability distributions with finite mean. The article presents a numerical study that compares pre-existing approximation schemes with a special focus on the stability of the discrete approximations when they undergo arithmetic operations. The main results are a simple upper bound of the approximation error in terms of the Wasserstein-1 distance that is valid for all continuous distributions with finite mean. In many use-cases, the studied method achieve optimal rate of convergence, and numerical experiments show that the algorithm is more stable than pre-existing approximation schemes in the context of arithmetic operations.

Quantization of Probability Distributions via Divide-and-Conquer: Convergence and Error Propagation under Distributional Arithmetic Operations

TL;DR

This work introduces a divide-and-conquer quantization algorithm that builds a 2^n-atom discrete representation of any continuous distribution with finite mean, providing a simple and computable upper bound in Wasserstein-1 distance. It proves that, under a split-function framework, the error decays at quantifiable rates and remains stable under distributional arithmetic, with mean-preserving properties and tail-dependent behavior analyzed. The paper also provides comprehensive numerical experiments showing near-optimal convergence in many cases, demonstrated stability during arithmetic operations, and favorable comparisons to Monte Carlo methods. These results offer a deterministic, robust alternative to Monte Carlo for propagating uncertainty through arithmetic operations, with potential impact on probabilistic computing and stochastic numerical methods.

Abstract

This article studies a general divide-and-conquer algorithm for approximating continuous one-dimensional probability distributions with finite mean. The article presents a numerical study that compares pre-existing approximation schemes with a special focus on the stability of the discrete approximations when they undergo arithmetic operations. The main results are a simple upper bound of the approximation error in terms of the Wasserstein-1 distance that is valid for all continuous distributions with finite mean. In many use-cases, the studied method achieve optimal rate of convergence, and numerical experiments show that the algorithm is more stable than pre-existing approximation schemes in the context of arithmetic operations.

Paper Structure

This paper contains 25 sections, 14 theorems, 156 equations, 4 figures.

Key Result

Theorem 1.1

Assume that $\mu$ is a continuous probability measure with finite mean and assume that $\mathrm{supp}\,(\mu) = {\mathbb{R}}_+$ and let $\mu^{(n)} = T(\mu,n)$. Let $\omega_{-1}= 0,\ \omega_0 = \int_{{\mathbb{R}}_+} t \mathrm{d} \mu(t)$ and define $\omega_{j+1} = {\mathbb{E}}[X | X \geq \omega_{j}], j

Figures (4)

  • Figure 1: Plots of Wasserstein-1 error vs representation size for mean-split, median-split, optimal and asymptotically optimal representations for the unit Gaussian (left) and unit exponential (right) distributions.
  • Figure 2: Log-log plots of Wasserstein-1 error vs representation size for mean-split, median-split, optimal and asymptotically optimal representations for the unit Gaussian (left) and unit exponential (right) distributions.
  • Figure 3: Plots of Wasserstein-1 error vs the number of additions for mean-split, median-split, optimal and asymptotically-optimal representations for the unit Gaussian (left) and unit exponential (right).
  • Figure 4: Plots of Wasserstein-1 error vs the number of multiplications for mean-split, median-split, optimal and asymptotically-optimal representations for the unit Gaussian (left) and unit exponential (right).

Theorems & Definitions (37)

  • Theorem 1.1
  • Theorem 1.2
  • Theorem 2.1: Theorem 6.2, p. 78 in MR1764176
  • Remark 2.1
  • Definition 3.1
  • Remark 3.1
  • Definition 3.2
  • Lemma 3.1
  • proof
  • Example 3.1
  • ...and 27 more