The contact process on Scale-Free Percolation
Andree Barnier, Patrick Hoscheit, Michele Salvi, Elisabeta Vergu
TL;DR
This work analyzes the contact process on Scale-Free Percolation graphs restricted to finite boxes, establishing metastable extinction times that grow exponentially in the box size in two regimes determined by the tail parameter: ultra-small-world $\gamma\in(1,2)$ yields $\tau_{\mathcal{G}_n}\ge e^{c n}$, while small-world $\gamma>2$ yields $\tau_{\mathcal{G}_n}\ge e^{c n (\log n)^{-A}}$ with a logarithmic correction. The proofs hinge on a constellation-based construction that embeds many high-degree stars with short connecting paths, coupled with a generalized Mountford metastability framework and a multi-scale geometric analysis. The results illuminate how degree tails and spatial embedding jointly govern epidemic persistence on spatial scale-free networks, and they situate the SFP model within the broader landscape of metastability phenomena alongside HRG and related spatial models. The paper also discusses non-extinction probabilities on the infinite graph, adapting prior methods to the soft, spatial setting, and clarifies how the asymptotics of persistence depend on the regime parameter $\gamma$.
Abstract
We consider the contact process on scale-free percolation, a spatial random graph model where the degree distribution of the vertices follows a power law with exponent $β$. We study the extinction time $τ_{G_n}$ of the contact process on the graph restricted to a d-dimensional box of volume n, starting from full occupancy. In the regime $β\in (2, 3)$, where the degrees have finite mean but infinite variance and the graph exhibits the ultra-small world behaviour, we adapt the techniques of [Linker et al., 2021] to show that $τ_{G_n}$ is exponential in n. Our main contribution, though, deals with the case $β\geq 3$, where the degrees have finite variance and the graph is small-world. We prove that also in this case $τ_{G_n}$ grows exponentially, at least up to a logarithmic correction reflecting the sparser graph structure. The proof requires the generalization of a result from [Mountford et al., 2016] and combines a multi-scale analysis of the graph, the study of the chemical distance between vertices and percolation arguments.
