Inferring entropy production in many-body systems using nonequilibrium maximum entropy
Miguel Aguilera, Sosuke Ito, Artemy Kolchinsky
TL;DR
The paper tackles the challenge of inferring entropy production (EP) in high-dimensional nonequilibrium stochastic systems where reconstructing full trajectory probabilities is intractable. It introduces a nonequilibrium Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) variational principle that yields a convex dual optimization problem for a lower bound on EP, expressed as ${\5ig\} = \max_{\bm{\theta}} \left( {\bm{\theta}}^\top \langle \bm{g} \rangle_p - \ln \langle e^{ {\bm{\theta}}^\top \bm{g}} \rangle_{\tilde{p}} \right)$, with the true EP given by ${\Sigma} = D(p \Vert \tilde{p})$. This framework provides a trajectory-level EP estimator ${\sigma_{\bm{\theta}^*}}(\bm{x}) = {\bm{\theta}^{*}}^\top \bm{g}(\bm{x}) - \ln \langle e^{ {\bm{\theta}^{*}}^\top \bm{g}} \rangle_{\tilde{p}}$, and yields ${\Sigma}_{\bm{g}} \le {\Sigma}$ with a Pythagorean decomposition ${\Sigma} = {\Sigma}_{\bm{g}} + {\Sigma}^{\perp}_{\bm{g}}$, where ${\Sigma}^{\perp}_{\bm{g}} = D(p \Vert q^*)$. The method further supports a hierarchical decomposition by interaction order and extends to multipartite observables, enabling independent subproblems and improved scalability. Importantly, only samples of trajectory observables (e.g., spatiotemporal correlations) are required, avoiding reconstruction of high-dimensional distributions, and the approach connects to thermodynamic uncertainty relations. Demonstrations on a disordered nonequilibrium spin model with 1000 spins and on Neuropixels spike-train data show accurate EP bounds and interpretable coupling-inference, with a public code release to facilitate application.
Abstract
We propose a method for inferring entropy production (EP) in high-dimensional stochastic systems, including many-body systems and non-Markovian systems with long memory. Standard techniques for estimating EP become intractable in such systems due to computational and statistical limitations. We infer trajectory-level EP and lower bounds on average EP by exploiting a nonequilibrium analogue of the Maximum Entropy principle, along with convex duality. Our approach uses only samples of trajectory observables, such as spatiotemporal correlations. It does not require reconstruction of high-dimensional probability distributions or rate matrices, nor impose any special assumptions such as discrete states or multipartite dynamics. In addition, it may be used to compute a hierarchical decomposition of EP, reflecting contributions from different interaction orders, and it has an intuitive physical interpretation as a "thermodynamic uncertainty relation." We demonstrate its numerical performance on a disordered nonequilibrium spin model with 1000 spins and a large neural spike-train dataset.
