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Normal approximation for subgraph counts in age-dependent random connection models

Christian Hirsch, Raphaël Lachièze-Rey, Takashi Owada

TL;DR

This work establishes normal approximation (central limit theorems) for subgraph counts in the age-dependent random connection model (ADRCM) under a light-tailed regime where moments of order $(2+\varepsilon)$ are finite. Using a combination of Malliavin-Stein techniques for Poisson functionals and association-based CLTs, the authors obtain a multivariate CLT for clique counts across multiple dimensions and a CLT for rooted subtree counts, with explicit variance and covariance asymptotics that scale linearly in the system size. The analysis hinges on delicate moment bounds for first- and second-order difference operators and a careful treatment of neighborhood sizes on the torus, yielding tight rates and positivity of limiting variances. Together with a companion paper addressing stable limits in the infinite-variance regime, these results provide a comprehensive picture of the Gaussian–stable phase transition for subgraph statistics in ADRCMs and support statistical inference for clustering-like quantities such as the clustering coefficient in spatially embedded networks.

Abstract

We study normal approximation of subgraph counts in a model of spatial scale-free random networks known as the age-dependent random connection model. In the light-tailed regime where only moments of order $(2 + \varepsilon)$ are finite, we study the asymptotic normality of both clique and subtree counts. For clique counts, we establish a multivariate quantitative normal approximation result through the Malliavin-Stein method. In the more delicate case of subtree counts, we obtain distributional convergence based on a central limit theorem for sequences of associated random variables.

Normal approximation for subgraph counts in age-dependent random connection models

TL;DR

This work establishes normal approximation (central limit theorems) for subgraph counts in the age-dependent random connection model (ADRCM) under a light-tailed regime where moments of order are finite. Using a combination of Malliavin-Stein techniques for Poisson functionals and association-based CLTs, the authors obtain a multivariate CLT for clique counts across multiple dimensions and a CLT for rooted subtree counts, with explicit variance and covariance asymptotics that scale linearly in the system size. The analysis hinges on delicate moment bounds for first- and second-order difference operators and a careful treatment of neighborhood sizes on the torus, yielding tight rates and positivity of limiting variances. Together with a companion paper addressing stable limits in the infinite-variance regime, these results provide a comprehensive picture of the Gaussian–stable phase transition for subgraph statistics in ADRCMs and support statistical inference for clustering-like quantities such as the clustering coefficient in spatially embedded networks.

Abstract

We study normal approximation of subgraph counts in a model of spatial scale-free random networks known as the age-dependent random connection model. In the light-tailed regime where only moments of order are finite, we study the asymptotic normality of both clique and subtree counts. For clique counts, we establish a multivariate quantitative normal approximation result through the Malliavin-Stein method. In the more delicate case of subtree counts, we obtain distributional convergence based on a central limit theorem for sequences of associated random variables.
Paper Structure (14 sections, 16 theorems, 116 equations, 1 figure)

This paper contains 14 sections, 16 theorems, 116 equations, 1 figure.

Key Result

Theorem 1

Let $0<\gamma < 1/2$, $k_0 \geqslant 1$ and $\eta \in (1,2)$ be such that $\eta (2\gamma \vee ( 1-\gamma)) < 1$.

Figures (1)

  • Figure 1: Example of directed wedge trees of two leaves (i.e., $\ell=2$), where two vertices are connected to a root with a lower mark. The quantity $\mathcal{T}_{n,\mathsf{T}}$ counts only the "visualized" rooted wedges drawn by solid lines. Note that each such rooted wedge admits two isomorphisms, and therefore we have $\mathcal{T}_{n,\mathsf{T}} = 14$.

Theorems & Definitions (34)

  • Theorem 1
  • Theorem 2
  • Remark 3: Higher dimensions and non-compactly supported profile functions
  • Proposition 4: Covariance asymptotics
  • Proposition 5: Bounds for $\Gamma_i$
  • Remark 6: Kolmogorov distance
  • Lemma 7
  • Lemma 8: Size of up- and down-neighborhoods
  • Lemma 9: Auxiliary expectation computations
  • Lemma 10: Auxiliary covariance computations I
  • ...and 24 more