Laws of Large Numbers for Information Resolution
Daniel Raban
TL;DR
The paper develops a framework for laws of large numbers governing the recovery of information resolution, encoded by the σ-field, from iid samples. It defines empirical resolution σ-fields and proves monotone convergence to the full σ-field in $\\mathbb{R}^d$ and in general metric spaces under Vitali-type regularity, with finite-sample $L^1$ bounds for Lipschitz test functions. The results enable two key applications: constructing randomized Skorokhod embeddings via refining partitions and analyzing the risk of randomized regression trees in random forests through partition-based information resolution. This work bridges probabilistic σ-field recovery with practical partition-based methods, providing both theoretical convergence guarantees and actionable bounds for learning with resolution-based estimators.
Abstract
Laws of large numbers establish asymptotic guarantees for recovering features of a probability distribution using independent samples. We introduce a framework for proving analogous results for recovery of the $σ$-field of a probability space, interpreted as information resolution--the granularity of measurable events given by comparison to our samples. Our main results show that, under iid sampling, the Borel $σ$-field in $\mathbb R^d$ and in more general metric spaces can be recovered in the strongest possible mode of convergence. We also derive finite-sample $L^1$ bounds for uniform convergence of $σ$-fields on $[0,1]^d$. We illustrate the use of our framework with two applications: constructing randomized solutions to the Skorokhod embedding problem, and analyzing the loss of variants of random forests for regression.
