Pick-up Sticks and the Fibonacci Factorial
Aidan Sudbury, Arthur Sun, David Treeby, Edward Wang
TL;DR
This work analyzes a pick-up-stick variant where $n$ independent $[0,1]$ lengths are drawn and asks for the probability that no three can form a triangle. Using order statistics and exponential spacings, the authors derive a Fibonacci-type recursion that collapses to the exact closed form $P_n = 1/(F_1 F_2 ... F_n)$, the reciprocal of the Fibonorial. They extend the method to quadrilaterals, obtaining a Tribonacci-type extension with a correction factor, and discuss generalizations to higher $k$-gons, highlighting a deep link between simple geometric probability and Fibonacci-type recurrences. The results illuminate structural contrasts with the Dirichlet-broken-stick model and invite combinatorial proofs and broader polygon-avoidance analyses.
Abstract
We present a variation of the broken stick problem in which $n$ stick lengths are sampled uniformly at random. We prove that the probability that no three sticks can form a triangle is the reciprocal of the product of the first $n$ Fibonacci numbers. Extensions to quadrilaterals and general $k$-gons are also discussed.
