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The non-linear multiple stopping problem: between the discrete and the continuous time

Miryana Grigorova, Marie-Claire Quenez, Peng Yuan

TL;DR

The paper develops a general theory for non-linear optimal multiple stopping with evaluation operators $\rho_{S,\tau}$ that depend on both the evaluation time and horizon, using Bermudan stopping strategies to bridge discrete and continuous time. It introduces a reduction mechanism for the double stopping problem and extends it to a nonlinear $d$-stopping framework, providing necessary and sufficient optimality conditions, existence results, and constructive schemes for optimal stopping times, including symmetric reward cases. Concrete examples are given via nonlinear $g$-evaluations from BSDEs and dynamic concave utilities, illustrating horizon-risk modeling and non-linear evaluation in finance-like settings. The results yield a versatile, horizon-aware SNell-envelope approach for non-linear evaluations and swing-like options, with potential numerical implications for complex stopping problems under general risk measures.

Abstract

We consider the non-linear optimal multiple stopping problem under general conditions on the non-linear evaluation operators, which might depend on two time indices: the time of evaluation/assessment and the horizon (when the reward or loss is incurred). We do not assume convexity/concavity or cash-invariance. We focus on the case where the agent's stopping strategies are what we call Bermudan stopping strategies, a framework which can be seen as lying between the discrete and the continuous time. We first study the non-linear double optimal stopping problem by using a reduction approach. We provide a necessary and a sufficient condition for optimal pairs, and a result on existence of optimal pairs. We then generalize the results to the non-linear $d$-optimal stopping problem. We treat the symmetric case (of additive and multiplicative reward families) as examples.

The non-linear multiple stopping problem: between the discrete and the continuous time

TL;DR

The paper develops a general theory for non-linear optimal multiple stopping with evaluation operators that depend on both the evaluation time and horizon, using Bermudan stopping strategies to bridge discrete and continuous time. It introduces a reduction mechanism for the double stopping problem and extends it to a nonlinear -stopping framework, providing necessary and sufficient optimality conditions, existence results, and constructive schemes for optimal stopping times, including symmetric reward cases. Concrete examples are given via nonlinear -evaluations from BSDEs and dynamic concave utilities, illustrating horizon-risk modeling and non-linear evaluation in finance-like settings. The results yield a versatile, horizon-aware SNell-envelope approach for non-linear evaluations and swing-like options, with potential numerical implications for complex stopping problems under general risk measures.

Abstract

We consider the non-linear optimal multiple stopping problem under general conditions on the non-linear evaluation operators, which might depend on two time indices: the time of evaluation/assessment and the horizon (when the reward or loss is incurred). We do not assume convexity/concavity or cash-invariance. We focus on the case where the agent's stopping strategies are what we call Bermudan stopping strategies, a framework which can be seen as lying between the discrete and the continuous time. We first study the non-linear double optimal stopping problem by using a reduction approach. We provide a necessary and a sufficient condition for optimal pairs, and a result on existence of optimal pairs. We then generalize the results to the non-linear -optimal stopping problem. We treat the symmetric case (of additive and multiplicative reward families) as examples.

Paper Structure

This paper contains 14 sections, 10 theorems, 60 equations.

Key Result

Proposition 1

i) $(V(S))_{S \in \Theta}$ is an admissible family. [0.2cm] ii) (maximising sequence property) There exists a sequence of pairs of Bermudan stopping times $(\tau_{1}^{n}, \tau_{2}^{n}) \in \Theta_{S} \times \Theta_{S}$ such that iii) The value family $(V(S))_{S \in \Theta}$ is a $(\Theta, \rho)$ - supermartingale family.

Theorems & Definitions (23)

  • Remark 1
  • Definition 1
  • Definition 2
  • Remark 2
  • Definition 3
  • Proposition 1
  • Theorem 1: Reduction
  • Proposition 2: Construction of optimal stopping times for $V(S)$. Sufficient condition
  • Proposition 3: A necessary condition for optimality
  • Theorem 2: Existence of an optimal pair
  • ...and 13 more