Near-existence of bigeodesics in dynamical exponential last passage percolation
Manan Bhatia
TL;DR
This work studies the dynamical exponential last passage percolation (LPP) on the planar lattice and shows that nontrivial bigeodesics occur at times with subpolynomial probability. By coupling a dynamical Russo-Margulis framework with precise control of geodesic overlaps and covariances of passage times, the authors establish an Omega(1/log n) lower bound on the probability that, for length-$n$ geodesics, a geodesic passes through the origin at some time t in [0,1]. They outline a second-moment method centered on a carefully defined overlap statistic X_n and develop sharp covariance estimates to bound the second moment in terms of the first. The results suggest that exceptional times are rare but inherently present, and they conjecture the Hausdorff dimension of the exceptional set is zero, highlighting a delicate balance between geodesic coalescence and dynamical perturbations in KPZ‑class geometry.
Abstract
It is believed that, under very general conditions, bi-infinite geodesics (or bigeodesics) do not exist for planar first and last passage percolation (LPP) models. However, if one endows the model with a natural dynamics, thereby gradually perturbing the geometry, then it is plausible that there could exist a non-trivial set $\mathscr{T}$ of exceptional times at which such bigeodesics exist. For dynamical exponential LPP, we show that $\mathscr{T}$ is "very close" to being non-trivial; namely, we obtain an $Ω( 1/\log n)$ lower bound on the probability that there exists a random time $t\in [0,1]$ at which a non-trivial geodesic of length $n$ passes through the origin at its midpoint; note that if the above probability were $Ω(1)$, then it would imply the non-triviality of $\mathscr{T}$. We conjecture that, even if $\mathscr{T}\neq \emptyset$, it a.s. has Hausdorff dimension exactly zero.
