Dynamical reweighting for estimation of fluctuation formulas
Raphaël Gastaldello, Gabriel Stoltz, Urbain Vaes
TL;DR
This work addresses the high-variance challenge of estimating transport coefficients in molecular dynamics via Green–Kubo by introducing a dynamical reweighting scheme based on Girsanov's theorem. It develops a biased-drift SDE with a scalar parameter ${α}$, constructs a GK-like estimator with Girsanov weights, and proves the existence and uniqueness of a variance-minimizing ${α_T^*}$ for fixed horizon ${T}$, along with its asymptotic ${T\to\infty}$ scaling. The analysis shows that, while one can achieve variance reduction, the gains are modest and scale as ${O(1/T)}$ in the long-time limit; numerical experiments in 1D and 2D overdamped Langevin dynamics corroborate this, highlighting limited practical impact in higher dimensions or less favorable regimes. The work provides a rigorous framework for dynamical reweighting and offers guidance for future extensions, such as optimizing the biasing function or applying the approach to more effective variance-reduction strategies.
Abstract
We propose a variance reduction method for calculating transport coefficients in molecular dynamics using an importance sampling method via Girsanov's theorem applied to Green--Kubo's formula. We optimize the magnitude of the perturbation applied to the reference dynamics by means of a scalar parameter~$α$ and propose an asymptotic analysis to fully characterize the long-time behavior in order to evaluate the possible variance reduction. Theoretical results corroborated by numerical results show that this method allows for some reduction in variance, although rather modest in most situations.
