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A geometric analysis of the Bazykin-Berezovskaya predator-prey model with Allee effect in an economic framework

Jacopo Borsotti, Mattia Sensi

TL;DR

This work analyzes a fast–slow Bazykin–Berezovskaya predator–prey model with Allee effect under an economic interpretation, using Geometric Singular Perturbation Theory to derive explicit thresholds that classify long-term behaviors. The authors construct fast and slow subsystems, establish a unified framework with exit–entry maps, and identify regimes leading to a stable equilibrium or a sustained production cycle, including a singular Hopf bifurcation. They corroborate the theory with numerical simulations, showing how the asymptotic predictions hold even for moderate values of the small parameter $\varepsilon$ and detailing how the limit $\varepsilon\to0$ can alter topological outcomes. The results provide insights into maximizing long-term production while avoiding resource depletion and offer a foundation for extensions to multiple resources or production variables.

Abstract

We study a fast-slow version of the Bazykin-Berezovskaya predator-prey model with Allee effect evolving on two timescales, through the lenses of Geometric Singular Perturbation Theory (GSPT). The system we consider is in non-standard form. We completely characterize its dynamics, providing explicit threshold quantities to distinguish between a rich variety of possible asymptotic behaviors. Moreover, we propose numerical results to illustrate our findings. Lastly, we comment on the real-world interpretation of these results, in an economic framework and in the context of predator-prey models.

A geometric analysis of the Bazykin-Berezovskaya predator-prey model with Allee effect in an economic framework

TL;DR

This work analyzes a fast–slow Bazykin–Berezovskaya predator–prey model with Allee effect under an economic interpretation, using Geometric Singular Perturbation Theory to derive explicit thresholds that classify long-term behaviors. The authors construct fast and slow subsystems, establish a unified framework with exit–entry maps, and identify regimes leading to a stable equilibrium or a sustained production cycle, including a singular Hopf bifurcation. They corroborate the theory with numerical simulations, showing how the asymptotic predictions hold even for moderate values of the small parameter and detailing how the limit can alter topological outcomes. The results provide insights into maximizing long-term production while avoiding resource depletion and offer a foundation for extensions to multiple resources or production variables.

Abstract

We study a fast-slow version of the Bazykin-Berezovskaya predator-prey model with Allee effect evolving on two timescales, through the lenses of Geometric Singular Perturbation Theory (GSPT). The system we consider is in non-standard form. We completely characterize its dynamics, providing explicit threshold quantities to distinguish between a rich variety of possible asymptotic behaviors. Moreover, we propose numerical results to illustrate our findings. Lastly, we comment on the real-world interpretation of these results, in an economic framework and in the context of predator-prey models.

Paper Structure

This paper contains 21 sections, 5 theorems, 48 equations, 6 figures.

Key Result

Theorem 1

Consider a compact submanifold (possibly with boundary) $\mathcal{M}_0$ of the critical manifold $\mathcal{C}_0$. If $\mathcal{M}_0$ is normally hyperbolic, then for $\varepsilon>0$ sufficiently small, the following hold:

Figures (6)

  • Figure 1: Visualization of the dynamics as $m$ varies. Slow parts of the orbits are depicted in blue and with a single arrow along them, fast parts in red and with a double arrow. (a) $m<l$, the dynamic is attracted to $\mathbf{x_1}$, either immediately or after a slow permanence close to the $u$-axis, followed by a fast excursion away from it; (b) $l<m<\tilde{m}(l,\gamma,\varepsilon)$, same as (a), but the unstable equilibrium $\mathbf{x_4}$ appears in the economically relevant region \ref{['eq3']}; (c) $m=\tilde{m}(l,\gamma.\varepsilon)$, the system exhibits a heteroclinic cycle connecting $\mathbf{x_2}$ and $\mathbf{x_3}$ in the slow flow and $\mathbf{x_3}$ and $\mathbf{x_2}$ in the fast flow (this latter heteroclinic orbit is approximated by the curve $v=\alpha(u)$, recall \ref{['future']}); orbits starting inside this cycle are attracted to it, orbits starting outside are attracted to $\mathbf{x_1}$; (d) $\tilde{m}(l,\gamma,\varepsilon)<m<(l+1)/2$, orbits starting below the curve $v=\alpha(u)$ are attracted to the unique stable limit cycle (purple) around the unstable equilibrium $\mathbf{x_1}$, orbits starting above such curve are attracted to $\mathbf{x_1}$ (actually, we will show that there exists a value $\Bar{m}(l,\gamma,\varepsilon)$, such that $\Bar{m}(l,\gamma,\varepsilon) \to (l+1)/2$ as $\varepsilon \to 0$, which distinguishes between when the stable cycle enters the slow flow and when it does not, hence this case corresponds more precisely to $\tilde{m}<m<\Bar{m} \approx (l+1)/2$); (e) $(l+1)/2\leq m<1$, orbits starting below the curve $v=\alpha(u)$ are attracted to $\mathbf{x_4}$ (on which the limit cycle collapsed as $m\to {\frac{l+1}{2}}^-$), orbits starting above such curve are attracted to $\mathbf{x_1}$; (f) $m>1$, the dynamic is attracted either to $\mathbf{x_1}$ or to $\mathbf{x_3}$ (the curve $v=\alpha(u)$ again approximates the border between the two basins of attraction).
  • Figure 2: Visualization of the entry–exit map on the line $\{x=x_0\}$.
  • Figure 3: Blue dots represent initial conditions whose corresponding orbits tend to $\mathbf{x_1}$ as $t\to +\infty$, red dots represent initial conditions whose corresponding orbits tend to the stable limit cycle contained between the $u$-axis and the curve $v=\alpha(u)$ (black curve). Values of the parameters: $l=0.4$, $m=0.67$, $\gamma=1$, and (a) $\varepsilon=0.02$ or (b) $\varepsilon=0.01$. Notice that, as $\varepsilon$ decreases, the curve $\alpha$ approximates better the border between the corresponding basins of attraction.
  • Figure 4: Plot of the maximum and minimum limit cycle values of $u$ and $w$ of system \ref{['eq23']} as $m$ varies. Values of the parameters: $l=0.4$, $\gamma=1$, and $\varepsilon=0.02$. For $m\in [0.7,0.71]$ the limit cycle does not exist, and the equilibrium $(\Bar{u}, \log \Bar{v})$, which corresponds to $\mathbf{x_4}$, is locally asymptotically stable (solid black line). For $m\in (\tilde{m}(l,\gamma,\varepsilon),0.7)$ the system exhibits a locally stable limit cycle around such equilibrium point (now unstable; dashed black line), which collapses on a heteroclinic cycle between $\mathbf{x_2}$ and $\mathbf{x_3}$ for $m\approx 0.6556$.
  • Figure 5: Values of the parameters: $l=0.4$ and $\gamma=1$. (a) Fixed point $u_\infty$ of the map $\Pi_1 \circ \Pi_2$ in the limit $\varepsilon \to 0$ as $m$ varies between $(l-1)/\log l \approx 0.6548$ and $(l+1)/2=0.7$. (b) $|u_*-u_\infty|$, where $u_*$ is derived according to Section \ref{['section4_3']}, for different values of $m$ and as $\varepsilon$ decreases. Recall that $u_*$ is at worst an $\mathcal{O}(\varepsilon |\log \varepsilon|)$-approximation (dashed black line) of $u_\infty^\varepsilon$.
  • ...and 1 more figures

Theorems & Definitions (12)

  • Definition 1
  • Definition 2
  • Theorem 1: Fenichel
  • Proposition 1
  • proof
  • Proposition 2
  • proof
  • Proposition 3
  • proof
  • Lemma 1
  • ...and 2 more